TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb924…0803

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
571
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 56 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT26067.3%175 W · 85 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 260 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.36
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.04
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.12
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$13.44
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.52
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$51.59
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.16
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.72
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.16
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.52
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.64
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.92
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.96
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.82
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.75
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.2
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$49.2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Showing 25 of 260 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT5054%27 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.12
Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$12.36
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.44
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.8
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+367.3%+$78.6
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.57
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.19
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$8.09
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.52
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 10,000-20,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.97
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$15.38
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.5
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$19.86
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.37
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT4833.3%16 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-41.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.14
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.75
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.03
Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$23.2
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$23.38
Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$18.9
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+495.7%+$109.84
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.4
Will Johnny Garrett be the TN-06 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.9
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$43.75
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$41.25
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
Will Callie Barr be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$31.25
Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$99.13
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT3831.6%12 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.07
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.58
Will Norway win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$63
Will Spain win the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.75
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.18
Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Will Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Will Argentina win the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$30.54
Will Like a Prayer be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6
Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bukayo Saka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$45.62
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.51
Will 8+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
Will the final be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$17.25
Will France win the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.57
Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.9
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.69
Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT2462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.86
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$11.28
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$56.25
Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Day Box Office be at least 48m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$10.9
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$41.23
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+60%+$15
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 115m and 120m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$6.98
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$9.29
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 25m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.2
Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.45
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$50.4
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+111.4%+$63.24
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
All 24 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+51.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$38.5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.14
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+174%+$25.4
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.95
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$16.5
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$74
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$86
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$34.67
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$15.95
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.06
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$64.8
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.92
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-75.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$89
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.08
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$671.2
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$262
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.81
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.63
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.41
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.8
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.56
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.12
Will the number of Israel Rocket Alerts since Operation Lion's Roar be at least 22,000 by March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.03
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$39
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-55.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+134.4%+$86
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.38
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$6.42
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.37
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
NBA: SGA Award Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.85
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.72
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.78
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+103.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$19.61
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.11
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.13
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.62
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,026.2%+$2,634.29
All 10 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Benjamin James finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Rocket Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.5
Will Stephan Jaeger finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Rocket Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.52
Will Max McGreevy finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Davis Bryant finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.25
Will Benjamin James finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.18
Will Jeremy Paul finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Kevin Roy finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$17.5
Will Danny Walker finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Will Bryson DeChambeau finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
Over $20M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Over $15M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$15.53
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.11
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$17.56
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.56
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev Win the Cincinnati Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$21.38
Will Ben Shelton Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.68
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$36.75
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.98
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$20.09
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
All 8 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-62%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Musiclast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick27cpaid+486%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-39.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+48.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudovbacked Makhmudov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hannover 96 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.