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EventUkraine

Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka again by...?

Wallets last checked .

UkrainePolymarket gives this event no start time.Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Top 200 wallets

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No top 200 wallet holds a position on this event yet

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Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 7 wallets, $1,165 · No: 3 wallets, $838 3 of 10 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Ukraine when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Ukraine when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0xc23e…6499#45 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$16975c+$56.7859
0x1583…bdde#52 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$4141c-$4158
0xc5a3…883a#110 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$22342c-$223.3157
0x1765…d450#229 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$22239c-$222.3855
Top 51 to 200
0x0f4f…7039#143 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$14344c+$181.0956
0x9ca1…13b5#245 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$52653c+$458.0154
0xb924…0803#264 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$2346c-$2354
0xc32c…5e2a#802 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$11942c-$118.9953
0xde09…dbdeNo place on the board tonightYeslost (open this pick)$52336c-$522.5253
0x94bb…c320#915 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1445c-$13.552

37 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

About this page

A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.