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EventIPO

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

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Top 200 wallets

16

16 top 200 wallets hold a position on this event, 12 of them top 50

Members see every position: which wallet, which side, how much, at what price, and since when.

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Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: Yes won. Yes: 6 wallets, $1,109 · No: 3 wallets, $449 6 of 9 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of IPO when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of IPO when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0xf528…7e5b#1 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1370c+$5.664
0x0711…f03c#5 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$10864c+$60.0961
0x0826…0b32#6 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$53053c+$47061
0x1ee9…197f#7 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$11920c+$47661
0xfa7e…f37e#13 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$2744c-$26.6559
0x5b91…2709#21 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$19038c+$309.9958
0xf797…0bf2#39 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$2212c-$22.1857
0x7c3d…5c6b#71 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$14974c+$51.555
0x1137…4ed5#96 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$40043c-$40055

218 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

172 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

About this page

A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.