TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0711…f03c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,283
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 62 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT33741.2%139 W · 198 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 337 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+166.3%+$190.85
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.13
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$24.2
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.69
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$32.97
Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.22
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.46
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+111.5%+$24.54
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+41%+$11.34
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$44.83
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+246.7%+$125.24
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$35.68
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+67%+$15.24
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$33.86
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.83
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.14
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.55
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.65
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.46
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+238.3%+$147.78
Showing 25 of 337 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT22641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 226 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ghislaine Maxwell Testify to Congress about Epstein?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.91
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$5.55
Major US official out by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.17
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.01
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+401.1%+$92.03
Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.27
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$56.85
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.41
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+136%+$31.12
Bill Clinton charged by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Will Bill Clinton say "Wedding" during his Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+25.4%+$6.08
Will Bill Clinton say "Massage" during his Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.5
Will Bill Clinton say "Plane" during his Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+50.5%+$97.3
Will Bill Clinton say "Daughter" during his Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+30.5%+$9.36
Will Bill Clinton say "Secretary" during his Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+26.7%+$3.72
Will Bill Clinton's remarks not air?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+27.3%+$30.03
Will Hillary say "White House" during her Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+34.6%+$18
Will Hillary say "Donor" during her Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+94.9%+$30.57
Will Hillary say "Plane" during her Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+67.4%+$32.21
Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+39.6%+$49.05
Will Hillary's remarks not air?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+28.3%+$23.55
Showing 25 of 226 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT19337.3%72 W · 121 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 193 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.78
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.01
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+63%+$34.8
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$21.77
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.95
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.48
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.42
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.09
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$7.9
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$31.43
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28%+$6.35
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.32
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.45
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+118.1%+$17.1
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$5.9
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$11.05
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$18.83
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$8.95
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.98
Showing 25 of 193 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10426%27 W · 77 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.15
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.92
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.24
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$11.02
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
Will Putin visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.91
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+152.7%+$47.74
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+608.3%+$136.08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.53
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.72
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90.5
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.58
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+59.4%+$7.45
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+112.1%+$52.33
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.36
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.55
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.9
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT9328%26 W · 67 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+143.1%+$92.24
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.09
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+376%+$38.57
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.64
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.02
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.91
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.98
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.49
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.16
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.88
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.56
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.95
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+107.7%+$177.13
Labour leadership election scheduled by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$50.28
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.72
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.96
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.41
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.12
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.27
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$22.34
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.81
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+673.3%+$407.06
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT7835.9%28 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be between 28 and 30 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+540.3%+$97.63
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$13.18
Will there be between 37 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.97
Will there be between 34 and 36 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.19
Will there be between 25 and 27 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.19
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.22
Will there be between 31 and 33 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.52
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.49
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.91
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.83
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.42
Will fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+186.8%+$54.05
Will 260 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.66
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+46%+$6.3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.35
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$5.97
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.69
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT4837.5%18 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Iran" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.02
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.96
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$25.84
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33%+$3.72
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+152.7%+$21.15
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.01
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.09
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.21
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.86
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.12
Trump drops Powell investigation before Warsh is confirmed?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$37.34
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.83
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Ratesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+135.2%+$87.35
Will Powell say "Delayed" or "Delay" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.67
Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+171.7%+$36.4
Will Powell say "War" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$41.16
Will there be a new supreme leader of Iran before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.55
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >10% by Feb 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.42
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13.28
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.63
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.4
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+175.2%+$19.1
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3633.3%12 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$17.03
Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.78
Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.58
Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+175.9%+$25.5
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.9
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.95
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.85
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+70.5%+$12.4
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Will John Ratcliffe visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.19
Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+92.2%+$32.5
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+156.1%+$64
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+54.6%+$10.6
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+52.9%+$154.97
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.35
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60.86
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$28.45
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$46.95
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.3
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT3036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$10.54
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+125.2%+$25.02
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$5.91
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.06
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.96
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+276.2%+$43.95
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.25
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.76
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21.43
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16.56
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.3
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.02
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+187.7%+$59.37
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.39
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+47.4%+$28.25
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+32.2%+$3.66
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15.32
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in October 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.82
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.89
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$13.75
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$42.72
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.15
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.27
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+300%+$345.67
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.49
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+242.7%+$166.72
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+293.2%+$224.92
Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$210.47
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$8.2
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.51
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.4
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.97
New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.64
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.83
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.98
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.71
Lai Ching-te impeached before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56.31
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+165.4%+$125.1
China-EU trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.22
China-Vietnam trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+73%+$18.3
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2524%6 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-42.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+49%+$5.26
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+85.4%+$92.1
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+118%+$107.23
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$22.55
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20.23
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$26.56
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$31.92
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$28.96
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.25–3.50 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15.34
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–3.00 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.68
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+82.8%+$28.74
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.00-3.25 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.59
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+216.1%+$123.05
Will a dozen eggs be between $4.00-4.25 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.16
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.75-4.00 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.26
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.75-4.00 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+278.2%+$28.65
Will a dozen eggs be between $4.00-4.25 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.81
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1% and 0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.2
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.7
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.48
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.32
All 25 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+46.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.8
Will Zohran Mamdani win 3 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15.71
Will Zohran Mamdani win 4 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+28.7%+$3.12
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$68.05
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$41.65
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 15–20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13.4
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10–15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20.6
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+290%+$63.34
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13.75
Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16.88
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11.07
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+1,530.2%+$578.29
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$105.34
Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$22.76
Will Trump endorse a candidate for NYC Mayor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$40.5
Will Eric Adams drop out first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+97%+$9.85
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+57.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.86
Will the announcers say "Heavyweight" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+292.8%+$129.66
Will the announcers say "Goal" 75+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$20.61
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+523.1%+$56.25
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.15
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+158%+$57.57
Will "Dai Dai" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$24.4
Will "Dai Dai" be the first song played at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$9.83
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$28.62
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$4.13
Will 1+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$9.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+31.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
IPO — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO: Trading Halted for Volatility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$35.22
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$20.05
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$4.76
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$13.87
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+35%+$7.78
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.86
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.06
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$12.48
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $90B and $100B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+313.7%+$83.39
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-65.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.86
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.5
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.57
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.26
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+173.9%+$28.09
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will "GOAT" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
All 8 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-62.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+64.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-56.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.76
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+136.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+136.6%+$31.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+26.5%+$4.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$52.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.