Us Politics · resolved market
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e5482b1e2afa7bed0b9a0c3c8ad33a83dd6cc6d649666cdf1977be64c42c82a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,180,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,211,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,180,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 412 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5297…7b99backed Yes | 0c | 2,207,004$3,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,158.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8eb…8473backed Yes | 0c | 1,382,642$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 0c | 1,008,000$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 0c | 665,622$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.83 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Yes | 0c | 526,972$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ca…0ebabacked Yes | 0c | 340,749$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 1c | 300,800$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.48 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…eab9backed Yes | 0c | 238,118$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de6…03d2backed Yes | 0c | 227,931$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed Yes | 0c | 221,529$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.38 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce0…59d5backed Yes | 0c | 198,922$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd64b…5ec2backed Yes | 1c | 179,371$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 0c | 155,556$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.11 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…e4b3backed Yes | 0c | 138,670$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…f569backed Yes | 0c | 105,133$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82fd…deb1backed Yes | 0c | 102,688$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…df9ebacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe992…fae7backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…a568backed Yes | 2c | 98,511$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b6…554ebacked Yes | 0c | 94,575$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35cc…da09backed Yes | 1c | 91,580$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…51a0backed Yes | 0c | 90,440$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…bb3fbacked Yes | 0c | 87,395$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd414…a4dbbacked Yes | 17c | 82,569$14,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,050.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…8387backed Yes | 1c | 72,217$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb59…0f16backed Yes | 1c | 70,000$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…a2b8backed Yes | 0c | 68,560$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Yes | 0c | 66,015$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa641…7ec8backed Yes | 1c | 62,461$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c79…a6d3backed Yes | 0c | 59,093$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d5…c665backed Yes | 1c | 51,972$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff1…7234backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…3bcebacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb698…976abacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…ed4fbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 1c | 49,558$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.09 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ce…f48bbacked Yes | 0c | 49,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ad…89e8backed Yes | 0c | 47,957$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76a…2986backed Yes | 1c | 47,067$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…ca53backed Yes | 0c | 43,600$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfb…152ebacked Yes | 0c | 43,580$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 10c | 42,982$4,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,258.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa651…1fd0backed Yes | 0c | 42,667$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…8528backed Yes | 0c | 38,587$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…3800backed Yes | 0c | 37,440$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43d…8a2abacked Yes | 2c | 34,053$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 7c | 33,375$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.53 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…c228backed Yes | 0c | 32,245$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…2c14backed Yes | 2c | 31,033$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 10c | 29,559$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,821.57 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777e…f226backed Yes | 0c | 26,727$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…91dcbacked Yes | 0c | 26,667$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dd…341dbacked Yes | 1c | 25,140$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c5…913cbacked Yes | 1c | 24,976$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 29c | 24,949$7,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,354.83 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e81…258dbacked Yes | 0c | 24,033$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2c…e2fdbacked Yes | 0c | 23,559$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 4c | 23,483$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f1…4c93backed Yes | 0c | 23,050$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 0c | 21,548$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…aa36backed Yes | 1c | 20,818$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked Yes | 2c | 20,718$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +302.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 0c | 20,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ef…90e2backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…179abacked Yes | 1c | 19,880$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa583…41edbacked Yes | 0c | 19,650$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…3239backed Yes | 1c | 18,787$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7ec8backed Yes | 16c | 18,633$2,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5d…6ed9backed Yes | 0c | 18,490$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc097…6b91backed Yes | 0c | 18,105$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e34…36b1backed Yes | 2c | 17,100$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…83cdbacked Yes | 0c | 17,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 1c | 16,878$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 4cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…d242backed Yes | 1c | 16,151$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…2ba0backed Yes | 8c | 16,031$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e0fabacked Yes | 1c | 15,893$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a3…8ea4backed Yes | 0c | 15,840$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fa…1a63backed Yes | 1c | 15,398$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 1c | 15,224$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…46a7backed Yes | 0c | 15,102$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba2e…c312backed Yes | 1c | 15,022$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaa…f0e4backed Yes | 0c | 13,336$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 8c | 12,848$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.73 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b79…2618backed Yes | 1c | 12,807$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 4c | 12,346$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.05 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…a63bbacked Yes | 2c | 12,321$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed Yes | 2c | 12,267$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb439…1dacbacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…fbf2backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…79bfbacked Yes | 1c | 11,597$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed Yes | 1c | 11,351$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…f03ebacked Yes | 2c | 11,312$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff3…6d83backed Yes | 1c | 11,210$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…5418backed Yes | 0c | 11,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 2c | 11,078$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.72 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,730$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…047ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,709$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +213.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…b263backed Yes | 2c | 10,691$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Epstein suicide note released by May 8?this page
- Epstein suicide note released by May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.