TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72ef…f569

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
184
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Commodities at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9012.2%11 W · 79 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+551.2%+$2,574.2
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$133.85
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$220
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+129.2%+$568.33
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+5,163.2%+$516.32
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4320.9%9 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+95.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.71
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$345
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+1,360.1%+$1,011.43
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+1,122.2%+$561.11
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,001.5
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.88
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.01
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100.73
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.97
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,441Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,441.11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.61
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.56
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick20cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+180%+$281.74
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$213.16
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.01
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.02
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$67.26
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+169.6%+$135.65
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+83.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$59.38
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
CA Osasuna vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+740.3%+$210.36
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.8%+$33.03
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+164.8%+$348.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$121.63
Will Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.68
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$1,880
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.