TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$233,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,779 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes47c44,157$20,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,326.726,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No64c35,719$22,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,739.142,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No40c26,481$10,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,462.914,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Yes38c9,750$3,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,022.771361.5%8 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.31per pick31cpaid+82.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No78c6,742$5,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,240.181,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No78c4,796$3,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,740.935164.7%33 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes23c4,348$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,347.9620750.2%104 W · 103 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes19c4,016$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,252.6510253.9%55 W · 47 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No60c3,859$2,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,322.311,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes23c3,218$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.636437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes22c2,358$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.642,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Yes57c2,286$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-41.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x95d0…bdf2backed Yes65c2,233$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes47c2,006$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.349246.7%43 W · 49 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Yes22c2,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.053971.8%28 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3312…437fbacked No78c2,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes23c1,895$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.782420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes30c1,480$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03624047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd778…0ca4backed Yes33c1,380$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.811060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes63c1,362$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.481,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cf1…c48fbacked Yes22c1,342$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+189.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c1,287$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.221,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No25c1,200$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.9915735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes22c1,198$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.645324.5%13 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Yes44c1,155$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.91338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No29c1,080$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.052,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdf0…9d7ebacked Yes47c1,007$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.51520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-57.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes38c995.05$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.932050%10 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5422…76a4backed Yes53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No30c891.75$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.851,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No15c686.91$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1641344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes29c665.56$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.2722335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73ed…2574backed Yes76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.89366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No25c655.97$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16757150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No25c646.21$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.8645142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No78c600$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46822746.7%106 W · 121 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8c7…0e95backed Yes45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No78c599.99$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46632453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4664…a394backed Yes22c590.91$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+127.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes53c588.72$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.274837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a2b…4b72backed Yes22c548$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf49…e7f4backed No78c542.38$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.061172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes22c533.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.5172249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No80c520.92$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.4936462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No77c510.44$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.553953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No77c500$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38552454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No77c500$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3857946.8%37 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes23c498.45$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.1168942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes46c487.4$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.0749753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8804…a3a7backed Yes43c461.23$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.91625%4 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes22c458.55$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.55520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.558831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked No31c445$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8311549.6%57 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x740d…9967backed Yes23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.78862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No78c425.49$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.884369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked No34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13623325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No77c400$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30816050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x060c…7d36backed No79c393.67$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+56.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes23c392$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.851,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f22…7f5cbacked Yes23c377.61$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+98.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a9d…0f3cbacked Yes23c356.23$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No76c346.73$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.859929.3%29 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaf0…6a3bbacked Yes23c335.62$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.43666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+102.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fcd…f84fbacked Yes32c320$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.612239.3%48 W · 74 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…3b03backed Yes64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.53366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No77c300$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23130050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes41c291.91$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.911250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed No79c264.5$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.091643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb97…40dbbacked Yes29c261.48$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.652450%12 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+47.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked No38c260.53$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.28per pick36cpaid-87.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No35c259.96$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.499541.1%39 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…f1ccbacked Yes80c229.63$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+90.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Yes29c228.45$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.22634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe29b…da59backed Yes23c226.17$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.152330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes27c225.34$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.651,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes21c221.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.3717337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No36c220$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1324146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Yes56c211$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…7e1bbacked Yes73c205.36$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.36955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+41.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0592…49aabacked No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002544%11 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+52.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes22c190$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.21735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf25a…d724backed Yes16c187.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.51450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No77c180$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.651847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…c7a1backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Yes22c178.3$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.077557.3%43 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+37.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6404…2a20backed No45c174.71$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.782941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1727…680ebacked No76c164$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.644261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd638…b011backed Yes69c162.57$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.981764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick71cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes21c161.47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5619735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63a6…338ebacked No78c156.46$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2513834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xffaa…9435backed No78c154.13$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Yes17c154$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.410378.6%81 W · 22 L+22.0wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+53.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x8897…149bbacked Yes55c152.73$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ef…f569backed Yes23c152.17$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.17714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x466f…03a9backed Yes23c152.17$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.171145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+71.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae8…8260backed Yes40c151.58$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+56.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.