Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4de57496404e5e63c2d1d16a4875d7b18a40e2004990003dc6ea1c35e9912002
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,096,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,096,306 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,443 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e35…1fe1backed Yes | 60c | 709,968$425,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425,397.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 59c | 300,467$177,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177,784.9 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 40c | 282,200$112,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169,320 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed No | 42c | 247,085$102,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,284.74 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Yes | 60c | 228,581$137,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137,148.59 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 40c | 195,714$78,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,428.59 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 61c | 164,000$100,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,040 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Yes | 60c | 150,000$90,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,999.99 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 149,189$71,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,003.34 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac4…c1ddbacked Yes | 59c | 139,234$82,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,148.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 41c | 101,188$41,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,743.89 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 40c | 100,000$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,999.99 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 40c | 100,000$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,999.95 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 40c | 97,507$39,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,504.7 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed Yes | 60c | 93,130$55,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,878 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 39c | 89,168$34,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,392.56 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 59c | 79,789$47,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,131.93 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes | 58c | 79,382$46,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,041.48 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 60c | 72,322$43,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,309.6 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 40c | 60,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,999.98 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 59,804$24,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,377.86 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 41c | 59,564$24,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,014.85 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 53c | 55,330$29,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,137.13 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 41c | 50,816$20,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,981.69 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed No | 40c | 50,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 40c | 44,030$17,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,212.13 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 40c | 42,607$17,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,438.06 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 42c | 41,929$17,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,521.15 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed No | 41c | 36,561$14,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,570.98 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 57c | 32,275$18,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,362.67 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 60c | 31,633$18,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,979.54 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…c667backed Yes | 60c | 29,600$17,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,758.03 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +59%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 40c | 29,596$11,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,679.54 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 42c | 27,367$11,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,872.69 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked No | 42c | 24,000$9,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,039.9 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 59c | 22,596$13,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,422.2 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 40c | 22,000$8,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,310 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 60c | 21,394$12,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,734.49 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 41c | 20,590$8,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,104.72 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 40c | 19,918$7,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,950.8 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 41c | 19,832$8,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,799.2 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked No | 40c | 19,681$7,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,758.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 42c | 19,553$8,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,340.74 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +59%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 41c | 19,224$7,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,344.36 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 40c | 18,888$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,238.45 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed No | 42c | 17,943$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,443.56 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 40c | 17,560$7,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,527.64 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 40c | 15,952$6,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,538.25 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 59c | 15,600$9,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,275 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Yes | 59c | 15,255$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 41c | 14,612$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,612.36 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 40c | 14,376$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,625.5 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 42c | 14,311$6,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,286.59 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 51c | 13,726$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…6d6fbacked Yes | 58c | 12,943$7,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,560 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…944ebacked Yes | 60c | 12,401$7,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,440.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…ad8cbacked No | 42c | 12,000$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,019.88 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 60c | 11,876$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb529…ad06backed No | 42c | 11,726$4,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,858.43 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 40c | 11,043$4,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,625.79 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 58c | 10,903$6,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,323.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked No | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Yes | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.99 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…390ebacked Yes | 57c | 9,923$5,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,689.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 60c | 9,858$5,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,915.07 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 42c | 9,524$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,523.81 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Yes | 0c | 9,278$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 41c | 9,020$3,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,337.28 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 42c | 8,990$3,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,244.12 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 41c | 8,000$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,719.91 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 41c | 7,769$3,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,612.71 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 60c | 7,644$4,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,586.1 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe5…38c2backed Yes | 59c | 7,625$4,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,498.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 42c | 7,419$3,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,303.05 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +12.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 41c | 7,000$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,130 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 42c | 7,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | +20.5wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 41c | 6,930$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,088.47 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 41c | 6,800$2,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,983.95 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Yes | 59c | 6,780$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 52c | 6,740$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 60c | 6,667$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.2 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 6,440$3,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,916.03 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No | 37c | 6,400$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,032 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbca…9863backed Yes | 55c | 6,363$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 59c | 6,271$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 41c | 6,169$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,609.63 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 37c | 6,144$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,847.2 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Yes | 57c | 6,053$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked No | 40c | 6,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,629.92 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 31c | 5,972$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.03 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…af8bbacked No | 40c | 5,428$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,257.07 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 5,371$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.02 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…0784backed No | 37c | 5,324$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,364.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48d6…46a6backed Yes | 60c | 5,275$3,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,147.34 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed No | 41c | 5,176$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053.84 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 41c | 5,100$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.98 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 40c | 5,030$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 40c | 4,970$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970.38 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 42c | 4,449$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.42 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.