TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5db5…1a50

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
441
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 55 out of 100; worst Serie A at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT6230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53,051Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$53,050.7
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11,809Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,809.19
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$4,936Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,935.72
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$9,306Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,306.1
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12,888Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,887.59
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,978Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,977.79
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$6,018Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+161%+$9,691.52
Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,221Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,220.65
Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)backed Leeds United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$7,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,198.5
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+242.6%+$6,064.33
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,945Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,944.63
Norwich City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,037.71
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,393Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,392.72
Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$4,201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,201.17
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,642Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$3,361.85
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,595Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$4,577.52
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250
Hull City AFC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,374.56
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$7,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,750
Will Swansea City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+224.3%+$11,216.44
Will Preston North End FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,921Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$9,778.95
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,219Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,219.11
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT5726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,489.82
Will UD Almería vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,356.67
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$12,600
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,919.98
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,055.42
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,999.7
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,641Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$5,046.79
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$9,896Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,895.63
Will Levante UD vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,839Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,839.49
Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)backed Levante UD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$6,398Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,398.21
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$5,266Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,266.29
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,968Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,968.34
Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)backed Getafe CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$4,926Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,925.67
Will Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$7,381Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,380.74
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$163,019Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+129.6%+$211,192.57
Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$35,000
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$9,495Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,495.09
Will Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,160.01
Will FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$576.02
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,395Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,395
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,961Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,961.02
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,384Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,384.28
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,842Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,842.26
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$6,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,024.06
Will Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$5,168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,167.88
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT4845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$9,382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,382.08
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$78,148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78,148.39
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$3,305Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,304.7
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$5,076.76
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,844Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,844
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,835Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$5,909.44
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,847Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,847
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,862Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$4,141.8
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,862Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$4,141.7
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,859Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$4,308.92
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,241Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$2,821.64
Spread: Suns (-11.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,241Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,241.01
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,241Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,760.86
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,338Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$5,128.95
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,352Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$4,378.5
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,862Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,862
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,856Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,856
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,856Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,856.24
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,862Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$4,141.7
Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,995.06
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,859Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,859
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,847Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,847
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,853Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$4,662.69
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,844Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,844
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,862Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$4,141.7
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT3938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Viking FK win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,268Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$4,786.23
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,351Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+206.1%+$4,846.12
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,449.99
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20,979Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,979.28
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$5,005Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+430.6%+$21,551.78
Will Eyüpspor vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10,707Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,707.13
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Gaziantep FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$9,765.03
Will SC Braga vs. FC Arouca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$5,247Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,247
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,453.7
Will NEC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49,719Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49,718.81
Will NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$73,551Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+220.9%+$162,504.51
Spread: NEC (-1.5)backed NEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$9,791Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,790.93
Will NAC Breda win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$4,874Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,873.64
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,996.61
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$8,532Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,531.92
Will PSV win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$7,785Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$7,215.03
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,551Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$5,325.81
Will Göztepe SK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,190.35
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,378Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$4,542.18
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,414Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,413.73
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.76
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$952Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+383.2%+$3,649.64
Will FC Arouca vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,386Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,385.72
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,566Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,566
Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT3815.8%6 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-57.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Serie A — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$4,295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,295
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,789Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,788.59
Udinese Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,801Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,800.93
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,397Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,396.92
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10,117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,117.02
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$6,291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,291.46
Will Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14,748Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,747.55
Will Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$7,313Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,312.95
Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,981Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,981.47
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.61
Will AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,392Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,392.08
AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,854Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,854.39
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,393Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+244.9%+$5,860.6
Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,433Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,432.95
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,883Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,883
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$947Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$947.28
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49,045Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+303.2%+$148,712.93
Will AS Roma vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$747.03
Will Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.2
Will Genoa CFC vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$4,967Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,966.61
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,957Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,956.54
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$4,050.48
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,633Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$7,333.33
Will US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$698.47
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT3735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$3,271Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,270.87
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,030.93
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$7,629Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,628.69
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12,702Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,701.53
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$5,712Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,712
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$146,929Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$120,214.7
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$99,199Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+167.6%+$166,251.03
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,685Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$5,041.44
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,547Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+151.2%+$3,850.69
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,901Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,901.19
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$7,289Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$6,463.39
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$865Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$864.78
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,838Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$5,679.39
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,849Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$4,930.9
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,472Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,472
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$7,195.12
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250
Will Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$4,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+266.7%+$12,000.79
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$8,888.89
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT3324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11,407Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$38,190.37
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$3,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,057.27
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,219.94
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,429Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,428.9
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,503Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,502.67
1. FC Union Berlin vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,462Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$6,208.63
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,805Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,805.47
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25,533Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,533.47
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16,397Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,397.45
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,700.03
Will SV Darmstadt 98 vs. Hannover 96 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,948Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,948.37
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,381Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,381.29
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$6,057Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$4,956.05
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,077Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$4,877.5
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,718Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,717.95
Will Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,197.67
Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$958.14
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,672Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,672.41
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,190
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$4,814Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,814.14
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,997.26
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$3,677.98
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT3231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$5,942Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,942.13
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)backed Nottingham Forest FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,029Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,028.67
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.91
Will AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,430.06
AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,563Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+132.8%+$3,402.72
Will AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,391Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$6,463.2
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,876Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,875.8
RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12,161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+225.3%+$27,400.73
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,622Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,622.24
RC Celta de Vigo leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,801Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,801.11
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$6,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,024.93
Will AZ win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,427Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,427.1
SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,857Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,857.46
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,810Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,810.46
Will SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,909Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+312.7%+$5,969.15
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$712Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$712.03
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,186.25
Will FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+113.8%+$5,689.77
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$375
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. HNK Rijeka end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+196.6%+$4,915.59
Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,667Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$3,882.78
Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,009.99
Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$3,958.39
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,673Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,673.24
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+144.8%+$3,618.88
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250
Will Auckland FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+283.7%+$7,093.06
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+363.8%+$9,096.17
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,054.88
Will Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11,182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$8,482.5
Will Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$5,354Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,353.55
Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,278Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,278.48
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$3,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,209.54
Will Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$6,243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+267.7%+$16,715.22
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$4,989Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+271.4%+$13,538.08
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,997.67
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+238.7%+$9,549.53
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12,110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$14,855.08
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,217.13
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,458Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,458.28
FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,177.75
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,573Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$4,378.49
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$950.05
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$710.73
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$525.11
Will Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,190.75
Will FC Metz win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19,775Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,774.72
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,508Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$6,466.49
Will FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,019
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,100
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,400
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$4,615.38
Will Paris FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$844Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$844
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$6,288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,287.56
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+208.2%+$10,410.13
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,835Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,835.23
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick26cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,003.52
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,847Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$5,047.13
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$954Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$953.86
Will Norway win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,937Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$3,641.05
Will Switzerland vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,061.88
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+155.1%+$10,858.02
Will Switzerland win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$923Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$923
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+262.6%+$5,251.25
Will Romania win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
All 11 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,925Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$4,574.88
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,599.99
Will Gamba Ōsaka vs. Cerezo Ōsaka end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,819.15
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$5,250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+243%+$12,755.39
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Vissel Kōbe vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$5,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,003.88
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$8,336Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+175%+$14,587.31
Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,030.62
All 10 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid+28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$5,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,356.63
Will Toronto FC vs. Austin FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,313Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+376.4%+$4,942.83
Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)backed Columbus Crew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,797Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,797.05
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25,481Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,481.14
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11,023Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+580.4%+$63,976.35
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50,367Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50,367.44
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.32
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,700
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,500
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$297.8
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$258.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,448Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$2,397.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,750.06
Miami Open: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Muchovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+84%+$4,199.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.