South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Coritiba FBC vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd8a1b36269334fbf443077e871f0513affcef1000543fcfd9f799b96e781829
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 28c | 49,915$13,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,976.14 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 72c | 40,048$28,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,213.32 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 5,089$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.21 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 2,410$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.5 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 72c | 2,223$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.55 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 28c | 1,638$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.6 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 73c | 342.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 18c | 322.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2858…0e19backed No | 73c | 199.23$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 191.08$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 163.85$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked No | 73c | 160.86$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0720…89a7backed Yes | 31c | 160.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…88bdbacked Yes | 31c | 160.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 70c | 158.2$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…27d5backed Yes | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked No | 73c | 142.65$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 71c | 139.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 72c | 101.27$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 95.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 29c | 89.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed No | 73c | 79.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 76.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 73c | 76.08$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed No | 72c | 69.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 73c | 51.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed No | 73c | 48.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 73c | 47.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Yes | 28c | 36.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 69c | 35.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed No | 75c | 30.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed No | 72c | 28.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed No | 72c | 22.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed No | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0b…d92cbacked No | 72c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed No | 72c | 20.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f47…742ebacked No | 72c | 19.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed No | 73c | 18.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coritiba FBC vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-19?No won
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-04-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.