TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,047
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,542

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,047 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No51c15,015$7,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,362.5559441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes50c14,164$7,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,030.933735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c9,272$4,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,336.71,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes50c6,359$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,179.61837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked No50c5,824$2,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,896.781741.2%7 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0486…fbe5backed Yes48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9130%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Yes50c4,639$2,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.27742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf4…43f7backed No56c3,728$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed No52c3,071$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.031250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes50c2,954$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.152540%10 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8519…f4e1backed Yes48c2,570$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.561612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-68.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked No51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.991353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Yes48c2,323$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.092147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed No52c2,053$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.888243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed No50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-60%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed No50c2,000$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.963141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No50c1,995$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.6541553%220 W · 195 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked No52c1,421$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.061553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No51c1,400$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.866553.8%35 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d1c…f13cbacked No66c1,397$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.863100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No55c1,188$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.511,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x621e…6510backed Yes40c1,113$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ce…6da3backed Yes48c1,059$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.53475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+129.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0462…b6e6backed No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5008647.7%41 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa241…45f7backed Yes49c989.18$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.71450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes49c989.18$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.711135.1%39 W · 72 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dd6…e33abacked Yes48c912.29$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.970%0 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd54b…f03bbacked Yes49c911.49$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.63633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked No52c823.65$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.351163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e40fbacked No52c773.82$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.431838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c04…8c0abacked No52c747.08$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.6837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes48c605.5$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.64119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.28per pick37cpaid-75.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x58b6…c324backed Yes48c599.97$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed No51c586.24$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.082240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Yes49c510.42$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.111625%4 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid+5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bb…98b3backed Yes49c494.59$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.35944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a41…1cbbbacked No52c493.07$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b52…cc99backed Yes50c485$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes48c479.24$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.931047.4%147 W · 163 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No59c462.47$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.7615753.5%84 W · 73 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes31c454.52$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1941238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No50c449.29$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.176547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca1…2007backed Yes49c412.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No52c386.43$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.6523637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed No52c378.39$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.635850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed No54c360.15$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.671457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x622b…d7ecbacked Yes8c349.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.952425%6 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No50c331.49$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.1640250.7%204 W · 198 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes42c315.43$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.544924.5%12 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15032944.7%147 W · 182 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No52c298.07$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.435658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea48…62dcbacked Yes50c291$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed No51c285.82$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.922231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19a1…6aefbacked No72c273.4$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.771250%6 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes22c266.33$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.48714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-73.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes41c239.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.394835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed No52c233.46$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.064047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Yes42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.524330.2%13 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes19c211.86$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0899435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…df76backed Yes48c208.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.981369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked No51c208.15$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.885547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed No51c201.73$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.851618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed No50c201.1$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.755750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965950.8%30 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Yes47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Yes40c199.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.995550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes23c199.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469728.9%28 W · 69 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Yes47c199.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.991643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2d1…b516backed Yes49c197.87$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.961010%1 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-84.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.942321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-37.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Yes49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.94540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeca…fdb1backed Yes49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9440%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf48a…f397backed Yes7c195.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.71520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975630.4%17 W · 39 L-7.1wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed No52c190.36$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.374360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked No51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2516553.3%88 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked No53c187.03$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5574…47abbacked No52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae64…3a4dbacked No53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed No58c177.37$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2414249.3%70 W · 72 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa89b…87a6backed No58c168.12$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.61966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes48c159$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.325048%24 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa9c…c6debacked Yes48c148$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.041353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes50c145.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.753151.6%16 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+78.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfc83…ee1ebacked No52c140.08$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82be…172cbacked Yes48c137.25$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.88520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-71%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1f4…2df9backed No74c133.08$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.66966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes27c130.38$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.824934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed No53c124.67$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.65100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Yes21c113.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.12832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…8617backed Yes49c110.12$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Yes49c102$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.98955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed No52c101.34$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.641526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-46.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.442853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c37…39babacked Yes45c100.53$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.24450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes49c100.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.02425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6602…7047backed Yes40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8561…337bbacked Yes49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.471118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick42cpaid-73%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.