TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1c37…39ba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid+24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.53
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$20.46
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.4
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.14
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.72
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.09
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.84
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.91
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$87.99
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+904.4%+$800.78
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.17
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$19.77
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-54.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Clement Taburbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.5
Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Li Tubacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+117.2%+$75.61
Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Jack Kennedybacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreevabacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.62
BMW Open: Vit Kopriva vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.11
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Fiona Ferro vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$46.37
BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.28
Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Tai Sachbacked Tai Sach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.04
Wuning 2: Jie Cui vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Jie Cui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.42
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Alexandra Eala vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.66
Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.06
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+102.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+50.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Juventud vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.