Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6d70644329aed74d42920036f958a158642b579b15623347c5792865b17c3d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 7,603$3,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,624 | 2,606 | 47.7%1,242 W · 1,364 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 4,018$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.76 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed No | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.98 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 2,680$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.81 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.98 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a42…3d14backed No | 49c | 1,941$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…570ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,650$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.61 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d9…26a2backed Yes | 52c | 1,435$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.86 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 48c | 1,280$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.38 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 48c | 1,248$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.84 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 47c | 1,240$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.39 | 585 | 51.6%302 W · 283 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d0…97debacked Yes | 52c | 1,108$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 53c | 1,080$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.45 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 47c | 1,054$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.54 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,003$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.35 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e68…2d32backed Yes | 53c | 990.14$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed Yes | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Yes | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Yes | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…d100backed Yes | 53c | 788.13$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.42 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed No | 35c | 772.26$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.83 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…04a7backed Yes | 52c | 741.81$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.07 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Yes | 53c | 733.43$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.71 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 48c | 692.15$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.36 | 851 | 52.9%450 W · 401 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 47c | 622.55$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.94 | 1,786 | 34.9%623 W · 1,163 L | -34.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.95 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.54 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 54c | 524.63$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.1 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 47c | 492.22$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.26 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed No | 48c | 491.57$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.74 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 53c | 490.76$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.66 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 52c | 478.6$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.73 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Yes | 52c | 414.63$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.02 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…e46cbacked Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 53c | 390.96$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.75 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 53c | 388.72$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 257 | 33.1%85 W · 172 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea4c…0e79backed Yes | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…ff59backed Yes | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 54c | 345.71$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.02 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe8…3684backed Yes | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 52c | 290.16$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.28 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 48c | 284.83$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.13 | 741 | 50.9%377 W · 364 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…317ebacked Yes | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 48c | 261.56$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.55 | 1,943 | 42.5%826 W · 1,117 L | -41.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e00…c1f2backed Yes | 53c | 256.56$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 53c | 250.98$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.96 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 8c | 249.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 51c | 220$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab76…9a7fbacked No | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…6f10backed Yes | 52c | 200.2$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 50c | 198.16$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.08 | 1,080 | 45.2%488 W · 592 L | -19.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c53…a880backed Yes | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b16…1d14backed Yes | 52c | 188.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…4f34backed Yes | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Yes | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef7c…74ebbacked Yes | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb34…c6a4backed Yes | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x603c…c46dbacked Yes | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a33…6410backed Yes | 53c | 183.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa945…110fbacked Yes | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…189abacked Yes | 52c | 180.76$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 45c | 180.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…84e9backed Yes | 52c | 169.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6167…a6cabacked Yes | 53c | 162.86$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…697bbacked Yes | 52c | 150.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 48c | 147.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e1…5612backed Yes | 52c | 130.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 53c | 123.02$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…bdf4backed Yes | 53c | 122.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 52c | 114.35$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…743dbacked Yes | 53c | 110.49$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd370…dc49backed Yes | 53c | 109.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed90…d1ffbacked Yes | 52c | 106.46$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked Yes | 54c | 105.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc2…5dbbbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…fc59backed Yes | 52c | 98.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Yes | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1815…e217backed Yes | 52c | 95.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…364fbacked Yes | 52c | 95.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Yes | 53c | 95.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 50c | 94.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 968 | 43.8%424 W · 544 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…7ebebacked Yes | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1d…ce4abacked Yes | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x971f…fbc8backed Yes | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 49c | 92.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc90b…bf72backed Yes | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +99%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…3be4backed Yes | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 54c | 87.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 46c | 87.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,424 | 44.3%631 W · 793 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…c150backed No | 48c | 84.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…4440backed Yes | 52c | 84.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b9…f10cbacked Yes | 55c | 83.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…a1e4backed No | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Yes | 52c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.