Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcffcdce0da63176189f38c21371cd76d72d47dfdaa4741f1db69a2b571ebce77

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,085,501
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,146,416

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,085,501 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x36a3…fafbbacked Over	50c	707,353$356,835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350,517.8	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under	49c	294,118$144,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144,117.82	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Under	50c	119,806$59,903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59,903	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Under	51c	75,440$38,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38,474.58	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under	49c	50,828$24,914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,914	166	51.2%85 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under	50c	50,000$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,000	111	49.5%55 W · 56 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked Under	50c	34,232$17,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,116	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	43c	28,995$12,543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,542.72	768	42.6%327 W · 441 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under	53c	25,567$13,551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,550.6	27	74.1%20 W · 7 L	+5.7wins	+0.21per pick	53cpaid	+40.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	50c	24,945$12,417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,416.88	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over	50c	23,587$11,794 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,793.68	359	41.5%149 W · 210 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	34c	22,733$7,814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,813.82	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under	50c	16,000$8,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,000	133	48.9%65 W · 68 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over	49c	13,859$6,731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,128.29	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over	48c	7,900$3,792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,108.04	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under	50c	7,339$3,669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,669.32	146	52.1%76 W · 70 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under	51c	7,232$3,688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,688.28	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	47c	6,147$2,904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,903.75	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	131	55%72 W · 59 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Under	51c	6,000$3,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,059.95	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under	53c	5,821$3,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,085.17	157	57.3%90 W · 67 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	62c	5,715$3,552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,162.98	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	50c	5,652$2,826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,825.91	107	39.3%42 W · 65 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ee…e8d1backed Over	68c	5,308$3,589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,718.46	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over	67c	5,119$3,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,689.24	37	64.9%24 W · 13 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over	69c	5,000$3,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,550	22	77.3%17 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	67cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	31c	4,993$1,568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,568.37	175	57.1%100 W · 75 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Under	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,039.87	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	47cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under	51c	4,000$2,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,049.76	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under	50c	3,500$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,750	152	55.9%85 W · 67 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Over	50c	3,418$1,707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,710.96	102	53.9%55 W · 47 L	+14.1wins	+0.14per pick	40cpaid	+58.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	51c	3,200$1,619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,618.6	557	51.5%287 W · 270 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	50c	3,030$1,518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,517.87	1,220	49.8%607 W · 613 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	409	53.3%218 W · 191 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	141	58.2%82 W · 59 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d9c…4695backed Over	71c	2,948$2,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$844.81	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over	51c	2,753$1,408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,345.28	395	55.9%221 W · 174 L	+17.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc1d…faffbacked Under	52c	2,606$1,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,354.98	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9d0…97debacked Over	49c	2,374$1,163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,210.76	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.25per pick	41cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	46c	2,042$942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$941.61	323	45.2%146 W · 177 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over	69c	2,033$1,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630.22	406	55.2%224 W · 182 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	138	37%51 W · 87 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Over	47c	2,000$940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,060	107	43%46 W · 61 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over	49c	1,974$959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,014.9	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Under	51c	1,965$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,009.67	170	48.8%83 W · 87 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under	52c	1,942$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010.05	108	38.9%42 W · 66 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over	47c	1,937$912 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,024.68	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over	50c	1,864$936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$927.82	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under	51c	1,839$945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$945	264	44.7%118 W · 146 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over	50c	1,654$827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$826.84	192	35.9%69 W · 123 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Over	70c	1,500$1,055 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under	50c	1,485$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$738.73	129	49.6%64 W · 65 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Over	50c	1,477$739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$738.58	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over	48c	1,450$696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$753.84	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	49c	1,429$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.21	210	56.7%119 W · 91 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99e…4d03backed Under	1c	1,362$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.62	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under	50c	1,348$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674.11	91	52.7%48 W · 43 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over	48c	1,238$594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$643.76	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-3.7wins	-0.19per pick	59cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under	1c	1,200$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	93	3.2%3 W · 90 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	66c	1,180$779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.2	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Under	53c	1,021$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541.29	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.16per pick	58cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Over	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	74	44.6%33 W · 41 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Under	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	50	16%8 W · 42 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1af0…6dd7backed Over	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	221	46.2%102 W · 119 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	266	51.1%136 W · 130 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	1,224	42.3%518 W · 706 L	-27.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	121	57%69 W · 52 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	170	62.4%106 W · 64 L	+13.2wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	144	59%85 W · 59 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under	1c	999.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	30	3.3%1 W · 29 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	8cpaid	-93.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Over	77c	999.99$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e2…41b6backed Over	48c	999.97$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.98	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over	80c	999.92$795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.98	91	57.1%52 W · 39 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	65cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Under	50c	980$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	19c	974.45$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.9	117	53%62 W · 55 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under	51c	951.19$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.11	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	14c	945.98$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.52	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x259c…b11ebacked Under	51c	905.25$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.68	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under	50c	900$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	143	55.9%80 W · 63 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	49c	830.91$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423.77	200	54.5%109 W · 91 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over	49c	800.39$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.2	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-3.9wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under	50c	800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	143	54.5%78 W · 65 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under	50c	800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	127	57.5%73 W · 54 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under	50c	800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x142b…c8c9backed Over	48c	790.84$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411.24	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e6f…8c21backed Over	50c	776$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x647a…4d7abacked Over	50c	761.45$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380.73	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+55.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under	51c	754.31$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.36	38	71.1%27 W · 11 L	+4.0wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	49c	733.83$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.23	1,163	57.4%667 W · 496 L	+40.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Over	47c	700$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$371	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Over	50c	679$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.5	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+2.7wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over	49c	672$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.72	277	52.3%145 W · 132 L	+8.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	21c	671.36$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.98	318	49.1%156 W · 162 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd496…4108backed Under	29c	660.28$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.48	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over	79c	633.99$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.14	152	63.2%96 W · 56 L	-8.1wins	-0.05per pick	68cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e19…bd99backed Over	78c	632.56$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.16	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	61cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	36c	623.01$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.3	746	44.8%334 W · 412 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Over	78c	604.26$471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.94	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5this page
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event