Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b53269f0d01414e2d9330b345c054b7d99ac4a21a5b7910ded98090397f5499
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arsenal FCof Manchester City FC, Arsenal FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $327,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $332,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Manchester City FC | 29c | 165,546$47,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,867.02 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Arsenal FC | 71c | 88,262$62,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,596.05 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Arsenal FC | 72c | 29,622$21,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,330.83 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Arsenal FC | 71c | 28,100$19,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,149 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arsenal FC | 76c | 12,991$9,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,148.3 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Arsenal FC | 71c | 8,000$5,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc4…de68backed Manchester City FC | 25c | 7,719$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Manchester City FC | 28c | 6,724$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.19 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 6,151$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.24 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Arsenal FC | 71c | 6,000$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Manchester City FC | 28c | 5,426$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.25 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Arsenal FC | 72c | 4,721$3,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.73 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 4,387$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.49 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Manchester City FC | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Arsenal FC | 73c | 3,984$2,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.59 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Manchester City FC | 17c | 3,786$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.34 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Arsenal FC | 71c | 3,500$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Arsenal FC | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arsenal FC | 72c | 2,934$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.42 | 560 | 51.4%288 W · 272 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1707…46a4backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 2,843$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed Manchester City FC | 27c | 2,833$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.96 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -9.5wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…7712backed Manchester City FC | 27c | 2,355$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.87 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…9452backed Manchester City FC | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Arsenal FC | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Manchester City FC | 29c | 1,998$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.35 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Arsenal FC | 72c | 1,793$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.16 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked Manchester City FC | 27c | 1,771$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.1 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Arsenal FC | 73c | 1,769$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.18 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefed…aecdbacked Manchester City FC | 30c | 1,750$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…af3abacked Arsenal FC | 74c | 1,663$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.01 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Arsenal FC | 72c | 1,521$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.88 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Arsenal FC | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Manchester City FC | 28c | 1,435$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.86 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Arsenal FC | 75c | 1,326$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.69 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Arsenal FC | 72c | 1,318$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.63 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 1,264$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.02 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Arsenal FC | 71c | 1,217$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.9 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 1,196$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.88 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Arsenal FC | 78c | 1,024$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.3 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed Arsenal FC | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Arsenal FC | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Arsenal FC | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Arsenal FC | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Arsenal FC | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1b…2246backed Manchester City FC | 27c | 999.94$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecf…9148backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 997.54$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.44 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Arsenal FC | 73c | 961.28$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.56 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Arsenal FC | 72c | 961.23$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.51 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Manchester City FC | 23c | 953.8$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.37 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Arsenal FC | 73c | 951.19$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.34 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Arsenal FC | 72c | 907.92$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.05 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Arsenal FC | 71c | 900$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 880$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.4 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…79ddbacked Manchester City FC | 21c | 857.07$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 854.29$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.2 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…79a5backed Manchester City FC | 23c | 802.89$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.07 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…b6e6backed Arsenal FC | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Arsenal FC | 71c | 800$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Arsenal FC | 71c | 800$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Arsenal FC | 71c | 800$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Manchester City FC | 19c | 770.67$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.75 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…7e16backed Manchester City FC | 27c | 708.3$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…3b43backed Manchester City FC | 30c | 634.3$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.73 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Manchester City FC | 27c | 627.8$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.51 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Arsenal FC | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Arsenal FC | 60c | 578.52$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.41 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Manchester City FC | 17c | 570.28$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 546.74$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.09 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…adbebacked Arsenal FC | 73c | 539.07$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.55 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 526.24$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.35 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Arsenal FC | 72c | 509.18$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.95 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Arsenal FC | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…e46cbacked Manchester City FC | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Arsenal FC | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Arsenal FC | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Arsenal FC | 72c | 499.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Manchester City FC | 27c | 460.39$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Arsenal FC | 71c | 430.13$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.12 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Arsenal FC | 71c | 420$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Arsenal FC | 71c | 420$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Arsenal FC | 72c | 411.38$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.19 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arsenal FC | 74c | 400.68$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.17 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Arsenal FC | 74c | 399.08$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Arsenal FC | 73c | 385.65$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.13 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Arsenal FC | 71c | 370$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Manchester City FC | 27c | 369.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Manchester City FC | 13c | 364.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Arsenal FC | 73c | 361.17$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.29 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Arsenal FC | 72c | 355.06$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…ab0bbacked Manchester City FC | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf218…61babacked Manchester City FC | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd0…cf73backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 341.68$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd102…1967backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 341.68$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…24efbacked Manchester City FC | 28c | 341.68$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Manchester City FC | 16c | 341.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 335.93$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be0…c51ebacked Manchester City FC | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Arsenal FC | 68c | 303.57$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)this page
- Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.