TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf218…61ba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT219.5%2 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick24cpaid-83.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1 - 3 Chelsea FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.15
Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 0 - 2 Chelsea FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.19
Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1 - 2 Chelsea FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.27
Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 0 - 1 Chelsea FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.24
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.6
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 0 - 1 West Ham United FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 1 - 2 West Ham United FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.24
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 1 - 3 West Ham United FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.28
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.02
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$567.95
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.94
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.68
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$430.89
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.74
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$193.11
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.89
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.9
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.27
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)backed Brentford FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.58
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.85
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.08
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-39.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.96
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 1 Sporting CP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.36
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.98
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 2 Sporting CP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.3
Declan Rice: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.52
Federico Valverde: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.5
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.62
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$180.65
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.01
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$65.53
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$131.85
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.94
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+76.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$266.58
Spread: AEK (-2.5)backed AEK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.48
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$126.23
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$302.23
RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$146.76
RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$165.67
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.85
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+127.9%+$91.43
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.48
SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$77.26
All 10 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.15
Will Gary Woodland finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.7
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.29
Will Sergio Garcia win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Vijay Singh finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.59
Will Tony Finau win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 8 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.72
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)backed Racing Club de Lens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.96
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$316.29
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.56
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.78
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.