TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,227
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,227 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over52c49,817$25,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,853.432653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Under49c15,938$7,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,809.5430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c14,670$5,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,692.763,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd586…7c9bbacked Under49c7,438$3,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,644.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over56c5,316$2,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,342.139954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under45c5,029$2,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,263.024259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under38c4,670$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.622,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under44c4,553$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.112850%14 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Over78c4,333$3,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.311145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick66cpaid-36.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over55c3,892$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.412832.8%42 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over55c3,514$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.881163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+64.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Under60c3,212$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c3,023$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.1444952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under46c2,998$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.222123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.3wins-0.25per pick49cpaid-55.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Over54c2,496$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under40c2,356$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.5314552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under39c2,203$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.7814654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under46c2,138$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.5416543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under46c1,634$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.5811443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over47c1,473$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.3384850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under46c1,280$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.3210956%61 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under46c1,280$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.321631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under44c1,235$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.7991950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Under49c1,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5881258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over44c1,096$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.411154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bea…facbbacked Over54c1,078$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick43cpaid+61.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under55c1,011$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.641,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over45c999.99$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Under47c817.69$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.37633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-46%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over55c798.63$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.385856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9959…c137backed Under47c692.87$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.1530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under48c653.89$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.1755545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdae0…836abacked Under49c613.29$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under46c539.92$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.366136.1%22 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over54c528.75$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.518946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04b…3ce0backed Over55c504.19$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.89540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24f7…75fbbacked Under44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over55c495.63$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.22254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under46c491.9$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.274770.2%33 W · 14 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+29.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under42c481.32$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.418023.8%19 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over55c457.8$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2970239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under46c454.27$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.853033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under46c451.1$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.941,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under45c429.78$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.41855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Under44c425.27$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.123060%18 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb813…f0efbacked Over76c380$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.21573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick70cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Over57c365.17$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.712254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over55c353.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.222846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Under50c353.08$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over56c349.54$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.866844.1%30 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over78c330.49$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4963857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed Over45c322.11$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.07955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d76…90a0backed Over46c315.92$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.832100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e4…65e7backed Over45c312.92$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.11475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+70.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664573.3%33 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf218…61babacked Over56c286.87$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.231070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+76.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under46c271$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6688048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under46c271$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.661,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under46c271$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.661,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over60c245.58$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.214767.3%99 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under45c241.73$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.787750.6%39 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over45c230.1$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.642733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under47c216.3$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.662157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under53c213.76$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3438453.1%204 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Under48c210.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.381957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Under46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.76933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over68c209.51$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0423461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988331.3%26 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under35c197.32$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e8…0f39backed Under48c197.04$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Over56c194.72$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.682147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under46c183.27$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8474155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over60c180.44$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5615562.6%97 W · 58 L+22.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under47c180$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.619546.2%90 W · 105 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over51c179.19$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.87143.7%31 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Over58c169.47$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.474100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under46c154.29$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.973345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under14c150.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1276941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under44c150.76$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.338853.4%47 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under44c150.76$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.339056.7%51 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over71c143.76$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.473366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Under46c131.39$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.441936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc56f…3670backed Under38c127.45$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.13450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over68c125.41$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0110061%61 W · 39 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over79c125.4$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.331283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick75cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under36c123.63$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.222944.8%13 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over62c122.34$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4611674.1%86 W · 30 L+18.9wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+34.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under45c110$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.53633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7333…d413backed Under46c105.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.381233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0c3…dde1backed Under47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.411241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b5…5b6abacked Under46c102.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3812633.3%42 W · 84 L-21.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+66.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under45c95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.754751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.425056%28 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+28.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Over55c88.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.81457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x305e…b28bbacked Under22c86.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.06837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under46c84.18$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.725435.2%19 W · 35 L-8.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.