Europa Conference League · resolved market
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70f6b3a4c482848ca95251e49da2bcb70614ff68664396cce726a7b76b96d706
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 2,313$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.11 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 55c | 2,216$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 1,732$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.81 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 49c | 1,145$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.76 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Yes | 57c | 992.75$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 50c | 582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 51c | 557.87$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.99 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 55c | 477.3$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.52 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 55c | 459.2$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.56 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 45c | 416$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.8 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed No | 45c | 351.91$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.55 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 287.03$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.47 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c0…467ebacked Yes | 57c | 277.07$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 43c | 271.27$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.62 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 56c | 260.79$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.04 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Yes | 36c | 236.87$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 48c | 208.44$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.67 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 14c | 207.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc56f…3670backed No | 49c | 198.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 173.1$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.07 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 160.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.51 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 56c | 157.68$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.11 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 57c | 151.19$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.18 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 38c | 142.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 35c | 137.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…3586backed No | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 46c | 108.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 46c | 104.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 103.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 50c | 102.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 58c | 100.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 44c | 99.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Yes | 57c | 97.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Yes | 55c | 88.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes | 49c | 60.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 44c | 54.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 53c | 53.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 44c | 52.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 44c | 46.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 69c | 44.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Yes | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 56c | 38.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 56c | 36.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…bfddbacked Yes | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…4094backed No | 74c | 33.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Yes | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e083backed Yes | 43c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 57c | 29.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df1…e624backed Yes | 56c | 26.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 49c | 26.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 50c | 25.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b1…f556backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Yes | 56c | 19.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 56c | 19.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.