Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cf99eb2ae8323e55da4f0a6df5ee9609dc9840233da57debdf14248f07001c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RC Strasbourg Alsaceof RC Strasbourg Alsace, 1. FSV Mainz 05
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 72c | 659.32$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.71 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…b42dbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 31c | 597.05$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.97 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -11.8wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…5607backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 69c | 426.7$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 29c | 317.26$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 39c | 281.67$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.75 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 21c | 226.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.18 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 69c | 203.23$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.23 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 31c | 191.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.29 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 71c | 184.48$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.98 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 71c | 182.12$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 19c | 180.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.33 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 28c | 165.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.95 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 28c | 155.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.87 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…cdb2backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 69c | 147.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.57 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 77c | 141.31$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.37 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 45c | 118.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 73c | 107.51$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 74c | 104.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.69 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 23c | 99.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 71c | 89.13$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 34c | 88.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30bb…f258backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 45c | 85.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 73c | 85.09$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 72c | 81.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 28c | 78.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…555cbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 29c | 66.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 28c | 63.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c9…1798backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 46c | 63.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 28c | 52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 22c | 49.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 23cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 45c | 49.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 70c | 39.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 77c | 34.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 72c | 32.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 77c | 32.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 77c | 32.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 70c | 27.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 70c | 23.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 69c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8209…bff8backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 70c | 18.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 68c | 14.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)this page
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.