Europa Conference League · resolved market
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6652efc40477323f09c4ea9c092c5892b89534f503b93c6ad43812a6acc1a61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 47c | 15,153$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,102.99 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 11,939$6,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,388.18 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.75 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 71c | 1,611$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.19 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 34c | 1,025$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.74 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 57c | 816.04$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.6 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 57c | 816.04$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.6 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 57c | 713.84$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.55 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 34c | 706.18$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.08 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 66c | 589.2$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.07 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -11.8wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 301.46$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.76 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked Under | 73c | 296.49$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.44 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 263.58$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.33 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 45c | 220.36$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.14 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 33c | 198.81$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.29 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 27c | 162.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.54 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…f8a2backed Over | 44c | 125.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 68c | 115.39$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 67c | 110$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Under | 69c | 109.58$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 103.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -20.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -42%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 45c | 90.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 33c | 88.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Under | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 32c | 86.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Under | 69c | 85.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…d413backed Under | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 14c | 76.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 33c | 72.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299d…e85fbacked Over | 43c | 70.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 30c | 69.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Over | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -12.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Under | 69c | 49.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 34c | 48.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under | 60c | 46.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 45c | 42.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…b100backed Under | 68c | 38.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75be…9812backed Over | 31c | 37.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…4ea2backed Under | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 33c | 34.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Under | 67c | 29.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Under | 69c | 28.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2059…4d1fbacked Over | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Under | 64c | 27.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +8.4wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 76c | 25.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Under | 75c | 24.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed Under | 46c | 24.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 55c | 23.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 75c | 22.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 387 | 53%205 W · 182 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 63c | 21.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5this page
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.