TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b9f…b100

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
180
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Norway vs. England: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+62%+$16.78
France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$11.22
Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.5
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$21.03
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.61
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Portugal leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT3743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.96
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Chicago White Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.06
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.53
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.87
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+178%+$39.58
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.08
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$21.52
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.26
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.06
Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.03
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.64
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$53.02
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$47.94
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$27.8
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$59.63
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$39.38
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$96
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.11
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$20.38
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+127.3%+$38.18
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+900%+$90
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.55
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$29.9
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.94
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.28
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.45
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Spread: Magic (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$21.28
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.14
Spread: Magic (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.66
Spread: Hawks (-15.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.61
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 248.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.19
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$35.77
Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 246.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$36.92
Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.96
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.11
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.75
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+102.5%+$128.09
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+156.2%+$28.11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85%+$62.05
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+88%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.