MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x976a4ddf4555b54419cbc732b8e7688d4730b4b838084a210f33e742ec2e2bb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa945…110fbacked Over | 0c | 19,873$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 51c | 19,412$9,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,512.82 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Over | 49c | 13,232$6,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,483.68 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 45c | 5,802$2,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.9 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 45c | 4,308$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.81 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 45c | 3,707$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.93 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Under | 54c | 2,919$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.82 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 46c | 2,903$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.29 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 49c | 2,222$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.78 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 2,193$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.68 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Over | 50c | 2,154$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.1 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Over | 71c | 2,091$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.58 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 50c | 2,030$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 1,968$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.8 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 55c | 1,795$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.3 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.99 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 29c | 1,740$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.12 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Under | 55c | 1,628$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.71 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 1,536$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.58 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 45c | 922.09$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.09 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4de…3920backed Over | 49c | 920$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 55c | 884.54$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.05 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Over | 16c | 752.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.31 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 45c | 752.33$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.55 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over | 46c | 736.22$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.66 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Over | 49c | 664$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.36 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 47c | 655.55$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.26 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Under | 15c | 642.36$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.47 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 10c | 567.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.84 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 33c | 464.76$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.91 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 45c | 361.42$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.88 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…fd64backed Under | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 40c | 347.68$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.94 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 331.2$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 59c | 318.52$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.83 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 46c | 315.52$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.14 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 46c | 314.28$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.16 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Over | 10c | 275.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Under | 50c | 239.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.95 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…3138backed Under | 54c | 223.47$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.8 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 46c | 210.18$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 44c | 200.45$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.65 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 196.62$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.29 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 195.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 50c | 178.24$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.12 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 51c | 161.86$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 153.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 62c | 144.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 55c | 143.9$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Under | 48c | 139.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 51c | 117.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 48c | 104.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…12ddbacked Over | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…a60cbacked Under | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 74.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…b100backed Over | 46c | 67.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 53c | 65.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 45c | 63.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 61c | 61.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 54c | 59.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 46c | 59.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 60c | 58.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 47c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 49c | 52.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 49c | 52.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 48c | 52.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 43c | 49.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 45c | 48.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1332…2b23backed Under | 41c | 46.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 55c | 43.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 37c | 42.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 48c | 40.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Under | 55c | 38.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 303 | 50.8%154 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…9c13backed Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Under | 55c | 37.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 30c | 36.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 40c | 34.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 48c | 34.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Over | 48c | 32.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 48c | 32.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 53c | 32.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Over | 49c | 31.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Under | 40c | 30.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -13.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 61c | 28.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 62c | 28.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Under | 53c | 27.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…3516backed Under | 53c | 27.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +6.6wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 52c | 24.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a3…fc13backed Over | 45c | 23.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…febcbacked Under | 44c | 22.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 46c | 22.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5this page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.