MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78e1cdf306c6bbd7d1eba799f6509f82888281db02763ecf0e89ec7b11349942
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 67,164$34,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,253.87 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 39,529$19,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,081.73 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 17,449$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,899.09 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 17,005$8,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,502.41 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 9,943$4,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,070.96 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 9,694$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,943.94 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 6,965$3,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,343 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 6,775$3,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,472.82 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 6,614$3,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,175.64 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 2,606$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 1,976$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.96 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,940$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.34 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 1,940$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.9 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 1,932$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.5 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 1,330$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.35 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 1,173$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.07 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 1,106$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.68 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 1,075$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.37 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…6736backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 960.79$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 950.15$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.08 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 893$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.36 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 614.39$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.34 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 569.53$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.44 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 500$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.5 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.65 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.8wins | -0.37per pick | 60cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 417.66$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…424bbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 389.7$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 368.48$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.44 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 330$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.62 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 322.33$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.28 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 309.27$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.04 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.35 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.35 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 261.15$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.18 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178b…8aa7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 259.21$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 259.2$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.15 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 255.45$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.05 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 244.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.22 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 231.15$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.2 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 215.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.61 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 199.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.62 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 198.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -13.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…6ea7backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 158.27$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 13c | 148.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 147.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…a60cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 140.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 134.94$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 129.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 95.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 84.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 82.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Atlanta Braves | 77c | 81.23$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Philadelphia Phillies | 19c | 76.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 69.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 54.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 53.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 49.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 49.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 48.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 45.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…bfe9backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…dd7ebacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 35.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…268abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 34.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 34.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 30.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a3…fc13backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 29.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 24.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…9ce7backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 23.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 22.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 20.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e3…ff82backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 18.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.