TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe67…dd7e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
194
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Golf, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 50 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT12742.5%54 W · 73 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 127 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.43
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.76
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.26
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.23
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.92
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.42
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.92
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$33.03
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padresbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.31
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$26.06
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$30.76
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26.44
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+124.4%+$31.1
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.64
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.76
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.21
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.1
Showing 25 of 127 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT3023.3%7 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-45.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$150.94
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.39
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.87
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.22
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.04
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$163.03
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.99
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.31
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.38
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.27
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.22
Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.6
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+139%+$87.26
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.91
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.45
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$85.64
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.78
Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.21
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Spread: Celtics (-21.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$31.3
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.45
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Christian Edwards win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.05
Will Bernardo Sopaj win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Khaos Williams win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+188.9%+$92.65
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+194.5%+$38.89
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Waldo Cortes-Acosta win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jack Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.61
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Brando Pericic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
UFC Fight Night: Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Dom Mar Fan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gilbert Burns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Gokhan Saricam (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tanner Boser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Randy Brown · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.05
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.92
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Esteban Ribovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.39
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)backed Tatiana Suarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$63.96
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.5
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$107.67
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.95
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.97
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$45.73
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+140.4%+$100.73
Utah vs. Flamesbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Canucks vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 13 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-72.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.