NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x464d1f08aa5747f11c74b455d149c186ef83e743600dcc6ebfdb7c9623d93d01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Utah, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,047,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,111,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,047,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 368 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Flames | 41c | 200,000$82,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,999.98 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Utah | 60c | 118,739$71,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,104.83 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Utah | 33c | 105,771$34,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,599.68 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Flames | 40c | 100,000$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,999.98 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Flames | 40c | 60,075$24,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,045.95 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Flames | 40c | 50,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Flames | 75c | 44,146$33,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,901.01 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Utah | 59c | 32,934$19,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,408.64 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Flames | 40c | 30,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,999.9 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Utah | 0c | 27,458$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Utah | 60c | 25,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Utah | 59c | 24,322$14,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,349.77 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Flames | 52c | 15,244$7,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,250.95 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Utah | 18c | 15,030$2,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,706.3 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Flames | 42c | 15,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,700 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Utah | 59c | 14,835$8,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,752.65 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Utah | 60c | 14,461$8,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,638.22 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Utah | 59c | 11,317$6,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,677.03 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Utah | 59c | 9,778$5,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,768.94 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Flames | 41c | 9,496$3,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,602.64 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Utah | 13c | 8,275$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.22 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Utah | 5c | 7,777$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.62 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 9cpaid | +79%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Utah | 15c | 6,559$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.23 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Flames | 41c | 6,323$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,723.04 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Utah | 59c | 6,000$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510.01 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Utah | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…0dc0backed Utah | 4c | 5,948$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…1307backed Utah | 2c | 5,676$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Utah | 15c | 5,352$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.61 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flames | 41c | 5,252$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.47 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Utah | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Utah | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Utah | 59c | 4,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Flames | 73c | 3,840$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.78 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Utah | 60c | 3,819$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.08 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047f…6f34backed Utah | 59c | 3,690$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Utah | 59c | 3,607$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.74 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Utah | 17c | 3,507$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.61 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Utah | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Utah | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.8 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah | 29c | 3,172$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.79 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9101…78ddbacked Utah | 17c | 3,100$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Utah | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Utah | 14c | 2,921$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.87 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Utah | 60c | 2,882$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Utah | 59c | 2,622$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…640fbacked Utah | 5c | 2,600$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Flames | 41c | 2,526$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.37 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Flames | 41c | 2,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Utah | 59c | 2,480$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.27 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Utah | 59c | 2,458$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Utah | 23c | 2,392$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.73 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Utah | 24c | 2,389$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.97 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Utah | 1c | 2,250$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Utah | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flames | 41c | 2,082$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.5 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Utah | 22c | 2,074$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.59 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Utah | 58c | 2,066$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.39 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…13edbacked Utah | 4c | 2,043$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Utah | 59c | 2,001$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.59 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flames | 74c | 1,961$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.81 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Utah | 19c | 1,887$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.83 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Utah | 23c | 1,876$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.51 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Flames | 66c | 1,743$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.29 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a83…f94dbacked Utah | 59c | 1,694$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d2…a4e4backed Utah | 58c | 1,683$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…0162backed Utah | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Utah | 18c | 1,620$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.47 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Utah | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Utah | 18c | 1,507$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.15 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…9819backed Utah | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Utah | 60c | 1,438$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.28 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Utah | 59c | 1,254$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Utah | 26c | 1,128$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.6 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc0…0186backed Utah | 60c | 1,032$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.29 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Utah | 59c | 1,005$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.8 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Utah | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Utah | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Flames | 40c | 990$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Flames | 64c | 975$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.38 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Flames | 75c | 947.53$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.56 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Utah | 59c | 890$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.1 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Utah | 61c | 862.98$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.42 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Utah | 59c | 816.39$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.67 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Flames | 65c | 800.91$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.32 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf7…9166backed Utah | 60c | 747$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Flames | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec18…89ebbacked Utah | 10c | 674.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.79 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Flames | 76c | 660.21$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.45 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…b115backed Flames | 76c | 659.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.92 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Utah | 25c | 638.67$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.67 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Utah | 21c | 624.51$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.54 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Utah | 28c | 623.66$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.39 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…bf2ebacked Flames | 41c | 622$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.98 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Utah | 58c | 620.35$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.8 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…d4dabacked Utah | 60c | 618.2$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.92 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Utah | 25c | 587$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.75 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Utah | 60c | 583.33$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Utah | 8c | 570.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…d55cbacked Utah | 11c | 567.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Flamesthis page
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Flames won
- Utah vs. Flames: O/U 4.5Over won
- Utah vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Under won
- Utah vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won
- Utah vs. Flames: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.