NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Flames: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28f84e1742039554b76d1b1b3598ef12493333dfce45a8988ee1c39e19017dfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 59c | 4,371$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.41 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 51c | 3,094$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.7 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Under | 44c | 2,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.62 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 43c | 2,131$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.52 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 56c | 1,799$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.62 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Under | 50c | 1,760$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.49 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 1,715$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.41 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 40c | 1,052$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.2 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…cbb4backed Over | 45c | 894.87$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 754.51$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.6 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 59c | 716.17$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 45c | 690.6$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.37 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 10c | 665$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 59c | 654.7$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.81 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 41c | 562.6$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 60c | 495$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.97 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…7155backed Under | 66c | 452.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 57c | 423.48$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.48 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 24c | 421.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 22c | 295.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 51c | 294.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.07 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 45c | 249$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.75 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 42c | 197.03$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.64 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 58c | 190$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 76c | 168$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 52c | 156.91$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Under | 56c | 129$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.01 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Over | 9c | 125.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 56c | 120.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 62c | 117$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 58c | 116$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…fcacbacked Under | 36c | 110.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…fd04backed Under | 61c | 109.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 66c | 98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.63 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 77c | 84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 43c | 82.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 41c | 80.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1e…ca41backed Over | 32c | 79.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 25c | 77.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Over | 56c | 54.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb7…dd4bbacked Under | 44c | 53.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 36c | 44.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 39c | 43.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Over | 75c | 40.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 53c | 34.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Under | 50c | 30.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed Over | 66c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Under | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 79c | 26.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 67c | 22.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…a6d5backed Over | 55c | 20.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 58c | 19.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 56c | 18.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Flames: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Flames won
- Utah vs. FlamesFlames won
- Utah vs. Flames: O/U 4.5Over won
- Utah vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won
- Utah vs. Flames: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.