TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb600…4440

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
255
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 63 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT16546.1%76 W · 89 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 165 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend - Map 3 Winnerbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.6
Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs Omega (BO3) - GLuck Yungstar Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group Abacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.36
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Alpha Dominion Nation - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alpha Dominion Nation · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$273
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Keyd (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Playoffsbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Keyd - Map 2 Winnerbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$116
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados - Map 2 Winnerbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 2 Winnerbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 1 Winnerbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$119.5
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs SAW - Map 2 Winnerbacked SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs SAW - Map 1 Winnerbacked SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.82
Counter-Strike: DFX Peek vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group Cbacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe - Map 2 Winnerbacked shimmer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.38
Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe - Map 1 Winnerbacked shimmer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$81.09
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 Winnerbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$69.53
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 1 Winnerbacked The Huns Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.8
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$88.99
Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament Group Abacked Team Novaq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$34.99
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs ALKA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group Dbacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.06
Counter-Strike: ENERGYULTRA vs ReThink (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Group Abacked ENERGYULTRA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.2
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$920
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$158.58
Showing 25 of 165 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3857.9%22 W · 16 L+7.5wins+0.20per pick38cpaid+67.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$78
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.37
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.33
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.4
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.77
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.86
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+300%+$716.25
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.69
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.39
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.54
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.69
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+525%+$239.3
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$833.54
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+224.7%+$398.47
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$68.91
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+348%+$222.68
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$41.89
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.28
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$101.22
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT3348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$196.31
Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$77.58
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$191.5
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.73
Colorado Rockies vs. Athleticsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.95
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$105
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$132
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.38
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$96
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+328.6%+$613.33
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$153.22
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.53
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$40.94
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$122.43
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Daukaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$50
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.5
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.48
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Paulo Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$101.92
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.86
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Johnny Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.14
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Insomnia vs Fennel - Map 1 Winnerbacked Insomnia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.91
Valorant: QoR vs YFT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked YFT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$145.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Utah vs. Flames: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.47
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.