NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70f4e79f7273a98f12f54bea2e70f4b9b98467a15dab085b9f4423f1189cac2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $437,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $445,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $437,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under | 49c | 229,955$112,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,032.47 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Over | 51c | 143,491$73,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,310.96 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 58,154$30,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,925.75 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 49c | 57,967$28,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,403.78 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Over | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,500 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Over | 51c | 40,057$20,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,628.08 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under | 49c | 22,122$10,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,839.8 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 51c | 12,819$6,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,281.33 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 11,485$5,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,629.41 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Over | 51c | 6,220$3,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.98 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 52c | 5,044$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.35 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.94 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 50c | 4,240$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.21 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 51c | 4,201$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.6 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.93 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Over | 53c | 3,590$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.41 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 20c | 3,028$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.09 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 52c | 2,224$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.19 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Over | 54c | 2,164$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.67 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.98 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.94 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Over | 50c | 1,959$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.53 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Over | 57c | 1,827$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.69 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Under | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Under | 49c | 1,772$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.39 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 53c | 1,749$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.14 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 1,607$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 1,394$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.95 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Under | 49c | 1,313$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.25 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 1,282$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.45 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 1,058$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.45 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 24c | 1,012$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.67 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.44 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…39fbbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Over | 51c | 999.96$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.98 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Over | 50c | 989.73$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.86 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Over | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Over | 52c | 938.62$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.35 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Under | 49c | 890.27$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.23 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 837$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.46 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Over | 50c | 833.16$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.58 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 53c | 825.11$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.8 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 44c | 818.27$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.04 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Over | 50c | 801.03$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.09 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5b…1902backed Under | 50c | 776$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 52c | 769.65$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.24 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 48c | 729.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.39 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Under | 49c | 675.67$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.08 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 50c | 640.2$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.1 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Under | 49c | 614.6$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.15 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 52c | 603.3$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.25 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 49c | 601.03$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.5 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 49c | 564.89$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.8 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1782backed Over | 52c | 553.19$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1410…3300backed Under | 49c | 548.78$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 51c | 501.65$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.22 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 49c | 499.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.02 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Under | 49c | 492.5$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.38 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 28c | 488.57$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.89 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Over | 51c | 485.3$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 476.16$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.84 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…ba80backed Under | 49c | 465.31$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Under | 49c | 461.43$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.1 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed Under | 49c | 443.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.56 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Over | 52c | 443.3$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.78 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Under | 48c | 435.96$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.26 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Under | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 153 | 36.6%56 W · 97 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d4…40b9backed Under | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5c…f1b9backed Under | 49c | 395.04$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 48c | 394.25$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.24 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…ebcabacked Under | 49c | 391$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Over | 51c | 388.24$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.24 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Under | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…1aecbacked Over | 50c | 385.05$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Under | 49c | 383.88$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…45d4backed Under | 51c | 382.68$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…d3a8backed Over | 51c | 381.69$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cd…9e45backed Under | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Under | 49c | 375.89$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.19 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01f…9b3fbacked Over | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Over | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Over | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…a758backed Under | 49c | 360$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Under | 50c | 348.79$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.31 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 50c | 341.73$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.87 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Under | 49c | 308.27$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.05 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Under | 49c | 308.27$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.05 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 49c | 308.27$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.05 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked Under | 49c | 308.27$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.05 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Under | 48c | 302.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. NuggetsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.