TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jamal Murray: Points O/U 26.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,967
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,218

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,967 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3d2…fe85backed No55c1,163$640 inLost-$639.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No53c1,061$567 inLost-$566.851,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes45c800$360 inWon+$44084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed Yes45c400$180 inWon+$22013751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Yes48c264.07$128 inWon+$136.1510636.8%39 W · 67 L-14.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes46c150$69 inWon+$8156050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Yes47c146.71$69 inWon+$77.478333.7%28 W · 55 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes47c137.01$64 inWon+$72.6293145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No49c100$49 inLost-$4941050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Yes47c98.38$46 inWon+$52.1443752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes46c77.41$36 inWon+$41.844747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Yes43c71.09$31 inWon+$40.5236749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea1…6072backed Yes47c61.8$29 inWon+$32.7524566.9%164 W · 81 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Yes46c52.59$24 inWon+$28.466046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61db…90cdbacked Yes47c51.5$24 inWon+$27.33548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No49c40.81$20 inLost-$2095049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Yes47c38.73$18 inWon+$20.5320951.7%108 W · 101 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8510…e41ebacked No57c34.42$19 inLost-$19.483537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No46c28.18$13 inLost-$135,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed No48c23.75$11 inLost-$11.476247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff91…cd37backed Yes45c22.27$10 inWon+$12.251656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+34.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.