TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe962…663a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
989
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT84342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 843 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$149
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,799.99
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.44
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.98
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.7
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,870Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,869.61
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,774Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,774.13
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$283.81
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.98
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.86
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.99
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.99
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.22
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$839.99
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.95
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.8
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
Showing 25 of 843 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8731%27 W · 60 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$4,955Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,955
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$8,400
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$779.99
Will a player representing Spain be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will a player representing England be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
England vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
England vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
England vs. Argentina: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
England vs. Argentina: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.47
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,558Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,557.54
France vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
France vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,913Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,912.54
Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Norway vs. England: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.99
Norway vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$459.99
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,680
France vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.05
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.99
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.99
Mexico vs. England: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+525%+$840
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick11cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.83
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.32
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$1,840
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.13
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.62
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.07
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 95m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$436
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 95m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.88
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 44m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.16
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,383Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,382.96
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$475.99
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?backed Avatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$192
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$960
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-52.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$549.99
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.49
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.65
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.97
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$272
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$384
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+100%+$141.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-77.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$23.03
Manchester City vs. Liverpool: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$180
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celta Vigo vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+104.1%+$204
Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$184.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+163.2%+$159.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,441Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,441.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.