TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-16.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,064
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,477

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,064 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs25c10,177$2,500 inLost-$2,5009725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks76c4,095$3,114 inWon+$980.412,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks75c3,691$2,780 inWon+$910.7642842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks77c1,080$834 inWon+$245.6153842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks77c519$398 inWon+$121.078,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks77c508.05$389 inWon+$118.811,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c4…256ebacked Spurs22c390.91$85 inLost-$85205%1 W · 19 L-5.8wins-0.29per pick34cpaid-89.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks80c379.82$304 inWon+$75.9664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Spurs19c303.69$58 inLost-$57.784342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks77c263.97$204 inWon+$59.971,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks76c200$152 inWon+$481,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Spurs20c200$40 inLost-$408052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks74c131$97 inWon+$33.891,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e86…5899backed Knicks79c126.49$100 inWon+$26.563256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53f1…35f8backed Knicks80c125$100 inWon+$255763.2%36 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs21c121$25 inLost-$25.4125352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Knicks75c120$90 inWon+$3025954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Knicks79c103.12$81 inWon+$21.9925554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs27c86.48$23 inLost-$23.3530551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Spurs31c75.32$23 inLost-$23.354344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Knicks74c65$48 inWon+$16.945445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Knicks75c60$45 inWon+$1522753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Knicks80c57.23$46 inWon+$11.455435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Knicks79c46$36 inWon+$9.6618445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Knicks78c26.39$21 inWon+$5.857353.4%39 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Knicks80c25$20 inWon+$519959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Knicks79c15$12 inWon+$3.1510757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.