NBA · resolved market
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25845b022ec2ae5462f18ad150bdc690d0924538b5af8fa9ceb6dcd5fb5331e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Yes | 52c | 3,145$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.72 | 392 | 65.1%255 W · 137 L | +31.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 48c | 2,706$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.24 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Yes | 36c | 2,383$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.49 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 64c | 1,774$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.77 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed No | 49c | 1,155$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.49 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed No | 46c | 644.95$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.68 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes | 52c | 638.2$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.34 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked Yes | 51c | 503.25$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.59 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Yes | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes | 49c | 436$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.36 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 41c | 413.45$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.01 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked No | 49c | 403.33$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.63 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed No | 67c | 373.61$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0e…90a1backed No | 49c | 341$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.09 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +44%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Yes | 50c | 315.98$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.79 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2055…4542backed No | 48c | 279$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.92 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked No | 23c | 253.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 51c | 240$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed No | 48c | 218$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 400 | 53.5%214 W · 186 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…e172backed No | 48c | 205.06$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked No | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed No | 51c | 199.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 305 | 44.6%136 W · 169 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 49c | 171$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yes | 59c | 161.45$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 48c | 160.88$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Yes | 53c | 141.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3698…7160backed Yes | 54c | 122.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Yes | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…50b2backed Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 53c | 102.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef6…5010backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…4b60backed No | 55c | 82.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked No | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Yes | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3652…2c8bbacked No | 45c | 59.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf773…f97ebacked No | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +129%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9335backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…9ce4backed No | 55c | 37.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 199 | 52.3%104 W · 95 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d66…e2e5backed No | 54c | 37.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…591abacked Yes | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb23d…8ba5backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5575…c56dbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92e…d539backed No | 48c | 33.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc429…1c89backed No | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 54c | 31.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…7d91backed Yes | 49c | 30.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc78b…5c76backed No | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -9.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Yes | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…b0bfbacked Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740d…2362backed No | 47c | 25.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…20c4backed No | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a0…8ccebacked No | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 101.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 98.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 194.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 195.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 196.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Spurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.