NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92aa941e2dcf216134bf4597fe5a97ab16f0e9f97b78d012f3d48638239ec6c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Knicks, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Knicks | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 45c | 9,149$4,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,037.03 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs | 45c | 1,908$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.4 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Knicks | 76c | 1,315$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.4 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Spurs | 50c | 891.98$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.42 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Knicks | 23c | 862.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks | 61c | 701.29$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.15 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Spurs | 53c | 612.58$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.89 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Spurs | 59c | 397.87$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.6 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks | 49c | 372.8$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.29 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Spurs | 50c | 358.94$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.93 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Knicks | 48c | 340.65$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.51 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 63c | 316.15$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.42 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Spurs | 52c | 298.94$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.49 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Spurs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Knicks | 53c | 195$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.38 | 253 | 40.3%102 W · 151 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Spurs | 58c | 178.15$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Spurs | 62c | 166.45$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Knicks | 46c | 153.69$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks | 19c | 120.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Spurs | 66c | 117.58$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 45c | 112.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Spurs | 49c | 111.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad3f…a377backed Spurs | 52c | 102.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +59%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Knicks | 19c | 102.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Knicks | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Spurs | 72c | 97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 30c | 90.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Spurs | 57c | 66.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 259 | 58.3%151 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd06…d1f3backed Knicks | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Knicks | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Knicks | 44c | 55.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Spurs | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Spurs | 75c | 49.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Spurs | 72c | 48.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…9bc6backed Spurs | 48c | 47.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…523dbacked Spurs | 57c | 46.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs | 43c | 42.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Spurs | 76c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Spurs | 72c | 30.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…dc37backed Knicks | 46c | 28.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…7b5ebacked Spurs | 50c | 27.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +9.2wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…421ebacked Spurs | 59c | 27.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Spurs | 79c | 26.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Spurs | 45c | 26.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa43a…1475backed Knicks | 49c | 24.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Knicks | 57c | 23.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Knicks | 51c | 22.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Spurs | 78c | 20.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 101.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 98.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 194.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 195.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 196.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.