TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,122
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,960

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,122 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Under51c15,207$7,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,522.9110944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under40c10,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,999.951,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over49c9,825$4,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,814.4430551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over58c9,320$5,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,390.264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over57c2,851$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.626,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under47c2,488$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.2155251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c2,308$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.282,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed02…85f7backed Over60c1,167$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+44.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over51c1,136$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.862,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under41c1,053$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.871,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c981.32$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.678,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over60c925$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55521957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under46c755.23$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.825349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over57c706.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40046959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under68c489.71$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7165872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under33c465.66$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.7425045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over32c451.94$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.753,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under43c415$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.718653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over54c404.25$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.7776653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c363.61$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.441,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b95…5733backed Over52c346$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.921963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over57c345.06$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.371,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Over60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4642…21d3backed Over60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013555.6%75 W · 60 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over51c302.45$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4952861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbdb6…4fe4backed Under40c247.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Over60c246.67$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1488447.6%40 W · 44 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb238…4961backed Over51c202.98$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.522832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x35c9…bc74backed Over60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12034661.6%213 W · 133 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Under41c192$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.2812450.8%63 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under48c183.83$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4268838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over57c170.6$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9821953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over61c164.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008540%34 W · 51 L-16.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under41c164.2$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8814148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cbb…3ec7backed Over60c163.12$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.87425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b6a…96a3backed Over60c162.92$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under45c151$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0535546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x961f…a3e6backed Over67c148.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under44c146.9$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.932654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under45c145.5$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0439552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under47c123.8$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.615044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over56c117.23$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9615648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under44c114.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.296344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over39c112.91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2631222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over51c106.38$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under44c104.98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2219959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under41c103.74$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.074,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Over57c101.03$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-25.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7160049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dca…c48dbacked Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under40c98.66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.531,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3894…decfbacked Over54c98.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.055350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Over50c98.19$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.219531.3%61 W · 134 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over52c97.97$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.591,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under47c94.72$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0225340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7b…21c4backed Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-55.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe046…9bc6backed Over55c77.73$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.884961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under41c74.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4410757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b02…d9d5backed Under42c73.81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.811154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick32cpaid+56%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70df…bca8backed Under42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4332750.2%164 W · 163 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2534…3484backed Over52c67.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over80c62.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Over60c58.3$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.987360.3%44 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd638…b558backed Over55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over60c52$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.261253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…267abacked Over59c50.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307948.1%38 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over49c50.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6512150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Under42c49.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.991560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed Over49c49.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.481656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x000a…6cf7backed Over53c45.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.072152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Under37c40.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5310548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Over52c38.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1542740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04ed…0adfbacked Over54c36.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.764158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02aa…932ebacked Under42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022453.1%119 W · 105 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e0e…704abacked Over54c34.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.584360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over55c33.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.459255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66e4…5583backed Over52c32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.641353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over54c31.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8463746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Over64c30.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.444344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.771752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x387f…70a8backed Over60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over57c29.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over55c29.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0152150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under39c28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.082250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a8…9c50backed Over57c25.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6518735.8%67 W · 120 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8263…e0f1backed Over49c25.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.452748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under42c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.530448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under45c22.96$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.544736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over53c22.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8710152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Over55c22.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.225671.4%40 W · 16 L+11.0wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over60c21.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.165952.5%31 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99d4…0e06backed Over58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f22…468bbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over56c18.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0940548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.