TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbc08…267a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
234
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT7948.1%38 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$79.53
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$26.4
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$52.81
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT3855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+53.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.47
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+536.9%+$161.08
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+57.1%+$62.08
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$150
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+31.4%+$94.06
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$76.36
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.5
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$65.61
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3250%16 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.73
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$19.26
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+316.7%+$47.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+138.1%+$55.24
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+56.3%+$22.5
Will RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Juventus FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+257.1%+$51.43
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2564%16 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$63.58
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Monte (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.67
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+37%+$11.1
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.78
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs JiJieHao (BO5) - Zhi-Tech Elite Masters Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+38.9%+$15.55
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+270.4%+$40.56
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO1)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.44
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs SAW (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+37%+$18.49
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Liquid (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+171.4%+$85.71
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gentle Mates (BO3)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Legacy (BO5)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.99
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+25%+$7.5
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Liquid (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs B8 (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
All 25 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+400%+$60
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$28.48
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$31.88
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.03
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$64.01
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.48
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$58.24
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$48.95
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$126.67
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+151.7%+$30.35
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 21 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13.83
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+89%+$26.71
Will 1. FC Köln vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$17.14
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$24.51
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+73.6%+$44.16
Will RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+63.9%+$25.57
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+316.7%+$63.33
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+35.1%+$17.57
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid+14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$262.5
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$63.95
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Belgium win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Will Switzerland win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-35.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$29.82
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+448%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+448%+$95.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.