CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs SAW (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ed352f68a687f4f02b8d33fab1f29489ef806a1a55dc2477216d58b222ca3dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 3DMAXof 3DMAX, SAW
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked 3DMAX | 74c | 32,202$23,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,372.6 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed SAW | 26c | 25,277$6,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,549.16 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed SAW | 26c | 5,369$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.99 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed SAW | 20c | 2,407$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.1 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed SAW | 26c | 2,400$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed SAW | 26c | 2,386$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.24 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed SAW | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked 3DMAX | 78c | 1,957$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.12 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked 3DMAX | 75c | 1,467$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.75 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed SAW | 28c | 1,442$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked 3DMAX | 72c | 1,048$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.35 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked 3DMAX | 75c | 935$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.55 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed SAW | 25c | 699$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.75 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed 3DMAX | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed 3DMAX | 75c | 484$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…a94fbacked 3DMAX | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -6.4wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed 3DMAX | 75c | 382.77$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.69 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…9212backed 3DMAX | 77c | 373.71$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed SAW | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed SAW | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked SAW | 27c | 249.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed SAW | 10c | 219.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed SAW | 9c | 197.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e05…14e5backed SAW | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6758…1618backed SAW | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed 3DMAX | 73c | 172.67$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed 3DMAX | 72c | 149.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked SAW | 13c | 140.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed 3DMAX | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed 3DMAX | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed 3DMAX | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcddc…63edbacked SAW | 25c | 119.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked SAW | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked SAW | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked SAW | 12c | 103.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked 3DMAX | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed SAW | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed SAW | 18c | 97.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…9abdbacked SAW | 28c | 70.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked 3DMAX | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…267abacked 3DMAX | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked 3DMAX | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed 3DMAX | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0657…14efbacked 3DMAX | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…4bc8backed 3DMAX | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed 3DMAX | 79c | 37.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -19.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x248f…ab67backed 3DMAX | 74c | 33.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked 3DMAX | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…204ebacked 3DMAX | 75c | 29.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…be14backed 3DMAX | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…5e7ebacked 3DMAX | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe97d…a2c9backed 3DMAX | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…2844backed 3DMAX | 79c | 13.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.