TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa05b…a94f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst CS2 at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST3661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+51.5%+$154.55
Utah vs. Sabresbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+81.8%+$245.45
Flames vs. Flyersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+108.3%+$325.52
Rangers vs. Krakenbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,023Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$771.99
Blackhawks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+38.9%+$661.11
Canucks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,636Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$1,090.42
Rangers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Penguins vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Predators vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+60.1%+$158
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Utah vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+161.8%+$485.36
Jets vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$198.2
Lightning vs. Predatorsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Ducks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+100%+$200
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Flames vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
Oilers vs. Canucksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$942Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$942.21
Kings vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Sharks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$869Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$868.75
Utah vs. Jetsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$397.67
Oilers vs. Krakenbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,631Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,631.04
Ducks vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,335Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$718.94
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST2937.9%11 W · 18 L-6.4wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-37.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
CS2 — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$568.37
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs B8 (BO1)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$568
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Imperial (BO1)backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO1)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO1)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs fnatic (BO1)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+127.3%+$636.36
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$283.25
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs SAW (BO3)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs GamerLegion (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$961Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$960.65
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+55.2%+$165.72
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$122.54
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Gentle Mates (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs SAW (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$300.23
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs SAW (BO3)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+47.2%+$169.72
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs B8 (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs paiN (BO3)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick59cpaid+30.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,154Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+50.2%+$579.29
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,056Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$936.49
Heat vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$157.08
Pacers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$141.12
Rockets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$134.78
Raptors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$183.87
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$181.11
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$183.87
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$303.89
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+58.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,752Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$584
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$216.84
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+34.1%+$187.09
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Independiente win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+102%+$302.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$255.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$161.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.