Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fc7409858de8572111082603e165c85e3a6078009db880a5fe5fb57d6c4c3c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $343,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $369,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $343,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 63c | 37,985$23,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,137.44 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked No | 37c | 27,000$9,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,989.98 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 37c | 23,865$8,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,830.14 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 63c | 20,005$12,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,401.85 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 37c | 19,994$7,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,397.78 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…e133backed Yes | 63c | 16,321$10,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,038.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 38c | 15,063$5,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,714.27 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 65c | 12,184$7,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,311.31 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 63c | 12,073$7,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,457.9 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 36c | 12,014$4,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,351.49 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 64c | 11,165$7,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.91 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…cbabbacked No | 37c | 10,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 9,837$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,969.91 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 37c | 8,801$3,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,256.54 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Yes | 62c | 7,897$4,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.77 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 33c | 7,448$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,462.18 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 36c | 7,211$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615.99 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 38c | 7,000$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.97 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 38c | 6,886$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.66 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked No | 37c | 5,825$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 62c | 5,819$3,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.25 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 62c | 5,639$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.89 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 46c | 5,151$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.7 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 37c | 5,053$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.12 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.93 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 32c | 4,824$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.78 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a11…abe7backed No | 40c | 4,790$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 38c | 4,770$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.58 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 64c | 4,560$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.36 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 63c | 4,300$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Yes | 62c | 4,126$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 64c | 3,872$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.98 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 37c | 3,821$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 63c | 3,048$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.84 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…7ab3backed No | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 38c | 2,930$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.42 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 74c | 2,867$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.64 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 36c | 2,741$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.01 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 52c | 2,687$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.86 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 76c | 2,658$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.35 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Yes | 53c | 2,636$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.03 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked No | 37c | 2,500$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.99 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 63c | 2,263$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 10c | 2,004$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.1 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 40.3%116 W · 172 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…f4fbbacked Yes | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…e042backed Yes | 52c | 1,940$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 1,874$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.29 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Yes | 63c | 1,846$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.97 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 37c | 1,828$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.33 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbf…3155backed Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +64%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked No | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 54c | 1,419$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.74 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460e…2efbbacked No | 38c | 1,344$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…2973backed Yes | 63c | 1,343$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed Yes | 71c | 1,285$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.44 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 63c | 1,267$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.44 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 37c | 1,138$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.95 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…f4c7backed Yes | 63c | 1,136$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 60c | 1,127$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.07 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 60c | 1,091$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.4 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 14c | 1,021$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.07 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…4e9fbacked Yes | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 37c | 999.33$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.95 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…3eacbacked No | 38c | 990$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked Yes | 62c | 989.98$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…2fd8backed Yes | 62c | 962.48$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.57 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed No | 37c | 960$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 60c | 937.5$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 79c | 925.88$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.48 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 64c | 859.38$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.38 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…02acbacked Yes | 62c | 672.4$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…14d2backed Yes | 50c | 667$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa133…8de2backed Yes | 70c | 610.19$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.51 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 37c | 555$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.35 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 537.31$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 40c | 532.27$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.68 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 57c | 503.68$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.78 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed No | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes | 57c | 482.18$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…22d2backed Yes | 64c | 471.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.97 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…5b99backed No | 48c | 416.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes | 64c | 416.17$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 66c | 401.5$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.51 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-21?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-10-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.