TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2bb0…2fd8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst Mls at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+100%+$150
Canadiens vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+75.4%+$214.09
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Devils vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+33.9%+$67.87
Bruins vs. Senatorsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$579.68
Utah vs. Wildbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$652Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+26%+$169.25
Flames vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+30.4%+$121.51
Kraken vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,728Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,728.12
Sharks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Blackhawks vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$536.89
Canadiens vs. Flamesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,869Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$726.92
Sharks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,316Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$619.21
Kraken vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$882Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$377.98
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$183.33
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,001Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+37%+$1,110.55
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$204.23
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Brighton win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$175.68
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,453Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,453.18
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$245.16
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick72cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,549Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,548.75
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$450
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$166.67
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$134.42
Vikings vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$587.3
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$146.83
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$214.29
All 7 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas State vs. Louisianabacked Louisiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+177.8%+$888.89
USC vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Missouri vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,196Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+32.2%+$385.74
California vs. Virginia Techbacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.61
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+59.5%+$212.85
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$29.87
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$309.38
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,956Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,956.43
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+40.3%+$249.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+35.2%+$281.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$80.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nashville SC win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.