TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-10-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$155,887
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,388

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,887 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83b9…6124backed Yes59c42,712$25,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,317.289146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No41c40,000$16,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,399.1710543.8%46 W · 59 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes61c18,885$11,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,419.991,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No40c18,277$7,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,310.6717853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No41c12,420$5,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,119.658241.5%34 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111877%13 W · 174 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes59c10,000$5,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,15014235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No41c6,200$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,54228543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Yes59c5,827$3,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,372.613056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes59c3,600$2,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47618160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes56c2,821$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.82540%10 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0351…2858backed Yes76c2,725$2,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No41c2,469$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.259857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No24c2,453$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.8912147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No49c2,000$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.213860.5%23 W · 15 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+38.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82011743.6%51 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No38c1,965$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.818836.4%32 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes59c1,931$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.7129846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Yes62c1,855$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.843542.9%15 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes59c1,796$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.1335860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes71c1,782$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.2616136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No23c1,371$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.38259.8%49 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26023942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2609341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked Yes62c805.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.653661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes59c792.39$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.8839842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c747.41$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.321,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabbd…f261backed Yes60c666.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.673943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No41c576.37$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.7237544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No39c571.85$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.027855.1%43 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No38c540.84$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.524242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No5c519.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.383417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick15cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No45c511.47$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.8714044.3%62 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes59c510$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.125450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Yes53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2355100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20512330.1%37 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked No42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2105133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa133…8de2backed Yes59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2057100%7 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No39c499.98$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9911245.5%51 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes61c492.07$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.071662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No13c400$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509556.8%54 W · 41 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5828639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes59c319.92$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1720133.8%68 W · 133 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12319344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc648…259cbacked No38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8480…293ebacked No38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1143135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa52e…e2c4backed No38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-63.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x511a…9745backed Yes74c297$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.222466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked Yes78c290.55$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.921553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes53c258.77$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6224963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x7826…20b1backed No39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004641.3%19 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes60c239.99$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.82161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No15c236.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9420343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005459.3%32 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed No39c219.97$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.792623.1%6 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-42.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x221a…55e8backed No40c210$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85a5…6721backed Yes60c208.33$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No47c207.65$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5938343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes60c200.04$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0312938%49 W · 80 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No38c199.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7518250.5%92 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes57c179.45$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1630657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bb0…2fd8backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.496100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5125…2d73backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40c4…adbebacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.494656.5%26 W · 20 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+27%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x3623…b50dbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.673847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2dc…3f6abacked Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.295855.2%32 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes59c153$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.737346.6%34 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.337259.7%43 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x949e…b13abacked Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes77c130.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.88771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No39c125$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7522547.6%107 W · 118 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8e…a742backed Yes62c120$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23c3…bdf4backed No42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes67c118.91$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.912766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd32f…ae42backed Yes61c111$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.29955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed Yes62c110$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.77650%38 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed No42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210040%40 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45fe…da9cbacked Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08ce…b717backed Yes61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396053.3%32 W · 28 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+36.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes74c95$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.714952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes61c90.16$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.161553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes57c87.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.846241.9%26 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafff…19b2backed Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x048d…a493backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf954…0517backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.97742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.978651.2%44 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a8…0cecbacked Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc711…bf1dbacked Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe68c…779dbacked Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.972676.9%20 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6510149.5%50 W · 51 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8581…ee61backed Yes63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.371080%8 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+70%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed Yes59c77.97$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.976958%40 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc286…d936backed Yes59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.81361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed No40c67.78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.114955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0670…2bf0backed Yes60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.67771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.