TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0670…2bf0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: IPO, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category IPO at 53 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-59.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.67
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$49.2
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$414.39
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+82.5%+$226
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$294
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$115.69
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+30.5%+$24.44
Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$852Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$852.4
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$149
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$190
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$663.4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$28.11
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
US forces enter Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.61
US forces enter Iran by March 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$42.9
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+167.8%+$250.64
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+400%+$320
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-71%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$339
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$617Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$616.65
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$112
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+28.2%+$66
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$195
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.37
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+32.6%+$54.48
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+63.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,309Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$406.7
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$196
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$97.5
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$759Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$267.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Netflix dip to $70 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$36.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$186
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.