Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf326a07132ea27d151fade9df0424db7c5ee496b44e5f373a41b4f15431bfd97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,778,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,843,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,778,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf781…cb73backed Yes | 3c | 2,035,157$58,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,608.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a1…9dcebacked Yes | 25c | 576,865$142,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142,964.99 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…d0fabacked No | 78c | 576,416$448,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127,575.82 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x075e…1840backed Yes | 7c | 96,811$6,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,689.51 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 6c | 67,593$4,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,298.38 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8150…d03fbacked Yes | 34c | 52,499$18,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,017.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 63c | 46,448$29,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,292.9 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Yes | 16c | 44,797$7,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,372 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…f2c6backed Yes | 2c | 42,048$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b14…d0b1backed Yes | 19c | 40,798$7,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,842.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…1ea4backed Yes | 8c | 36,990$3,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 5c | 34,513$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.01 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…f518backed Yes | 11c | 32,885$3,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,477.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 3c | 30,127$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.53 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 15c | 29,274$4,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,387.92 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ee…932cbacked Yes | 42c | 24,157$10,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,094.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa985…c42abacked Yes | 6c | 23,764$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 19c | 23,341$4,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,404.41 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dd…c441backed Yes | 29c | 21,546$6,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,248.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde05…1ababacked Yes | 61c | 21,355$13,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,085.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e2…f479backed No | 57c | 19,812$11,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,460.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 2c | 19,496$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.91 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…8c4abacked No | 80c | 18,211$14,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,642.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 71c | 16,820$11,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,869.03 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…589cbacked Yes | 17c | 16,600$2,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…e94dbacked Yes | 4c | 16,353$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.03 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 1c | 15,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed Yes | 11c | 14,752$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb202…e10fbacked Yes | 10c | 14,056$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.55 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…7dd1backed Yes | 5c | 13,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5939…4701backed Yes | 2c | 12,725$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.95 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b1…a882backed Yes | 4c | 12,648$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.24 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ce…6da0backed Yes | 55c | 12,373$6,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,865.71 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de1…e0debacked Yes | 10c | 12,205$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.51 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3267…2e9ebacked Yes | 1c | 12,000$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 12c | 10,916$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.92 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a16…7439backed Yes | 47c | 10,711$4,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,987.69 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8493…e006backed Yes | 0c | 10,030$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.97 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…c104backed No | 79c | 9,847$7,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…0d3fbacked No | 69c | 9,771$6,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 11c | 9,753$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.91 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 9,700$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 21c | 9,493$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.55 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf0…28c0backed Yes | 63c | 9,443$5,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,994.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +223.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 43c | 8,838$3,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,055.6 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed Yes | 1c | 8,360$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d043backed Yes | 35c | 8,259$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.49 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 8,242$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 50c | 8,241$4,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,126.72 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 1c | 8,238$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.9 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…338dbacked Yes | 2c | 8,159$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 19c | 8,088$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.53 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…c707backed No | 66c | 8,081$5,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.17 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afa…a3f1backed Yes | 22c | 7,125$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +148%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd778…6b0fbacked Yes | 11c | 7,038$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e8…1fa2backed Yes | 31c | 7,019$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d7…d309backed Yes | 3c | 6,767$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x991d…ad9dbacked No | 16c | 6,326$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,291.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…2032backed Yes | 9c | 6,142$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.99 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60a…c9bdbacked Yes | 0c | 6,132$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x984d…3bb2backed No | 80c | 6,070$4,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691b…d550backed Yes | 78c | 5,940$4,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,633.36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…7b1fbacked No | 19c | 5,734$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,656.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 58c | 5,687$3,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378.24 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked Yes | 10c | 5,579$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.73 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…2e9cbacked Yes | 19c | 5,200$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3c…2a87backed Yes | 3c | 5,191$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45bc…978bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ad…cc4ebacked No | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed No | 77c | 4,961$3,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.02 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397b…31bebacked Yes | 34c | 4,954$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x801b…e036backed Yes | 1c | 4,848$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe67e…8c29backed Yes | 1c | 4,820$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…1ec4backed Yes | 19c | 4,750$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x665c…e2b9backed Yes | 71c | 4,749$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,357.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35e…0867backed Yes | 9c | 4,740$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.62 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda25…b390backed Yes | 3c | 4,646$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 5c | 4,627$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.76 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcffd…17e5backed Yes | 20c | 4,621$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 21c | 4,565$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.2 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d7…3b16backed Yes | 10c | 4,463$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 32c | 4,399$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.45 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 5c | 4,382$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.58 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed No | 63c | 4,313$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9537…e625backed Yes | 47c | 4,311$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54d…72f8backed Yes | 10c | 4,134$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.94 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…c80dbacked Yes | 15c | 4,095$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x991f…d3c2backed No | 46c | 4,093$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.62 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80c7…2cdabacked Yes | 7c | 3,916$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…8de1backed No | 77c | 3,898$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d4…f1f5backed No | 68c | 3,839$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.35 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa010…98bdbacked Yes | 26c | 3,811$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.24 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9265…75babacked Yes | 29c | 3,805$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.23 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa16c…866abacked No | 22c | 3,733$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.79 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…6ca4backed Yes | 58c | 3,733$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…7457backed Yes | 14c | 3,670$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.14 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.