Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6ca9df9502600d4f652a725babeff09cd2947974d18351c18a3ba86cc985c50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,672,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,907,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,672,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xceec…4ad9backed Yes | 3c | 159,570$5,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,449.48 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca86…cc70backed Yes | 2c | 137,837$3,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…a403backed Yes | 2c | 137,820$3,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,165.44 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 2c | 78,809$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.2 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29cb…7a3ebacked Yes | 3c | 77,040$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d8…d705backed Yes | 2c | 49,219$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 2c | 49,104$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.76 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c8…e371backed Yes | 1c | 34,951$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 3c | 31,813$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.91 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 3c | 31,155$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.09 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0e…62fcbacked Yes | 2c | 28,374$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 2c | 27,524$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.88 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4888…182dbacked Yes | 3c | 24,560$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 2c | 22,999$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.99 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 1c | 22,693$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.5 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e60…ae42backed Yes | 1c | 22,517$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…26ecbacked Yes | 2c | 20,183$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.56 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 2c | 19,060$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.19 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 1c | 18,923$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.82 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 1c | 18,031$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.42 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…52d2backed Yes | 2c | 17,281$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.68 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Yes | 2c | 16,601$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.25 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da5…90c9backed Yes | 3c | 16,140$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.61 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -85%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90da…4042backed Yes | 3c | 15,610$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…a745backed Yes | 2c | 14,093$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +275.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…4b27backed Yes | 3c | 13,849$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 3c | 13,693$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.52 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7558…2d70backed Yes | 2c | 13,478$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.93 | 110 | 5.5%6 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…ebbfbacked Yes | 3c | 12,630$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe312…e0b2backed Yes | 6c | 12,258$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…631cbacked Yes | 5c | 12,154$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 11,707$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.79 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e09…c7fabacked Yes | 8c | 10,993$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.36 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 10,395$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e8…8676backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…c707backed Yes | 2c | 9,718$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.25 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1087…013bbacked Yes | 3c | 9,688$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.63 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fef…4849backed Yes | 1c | 9,430$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc8…91a1backed Yes | 1c | 9,308$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4028…5f4abacked Yes | 3c | 9,282$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 9,115$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 2c | 8,224$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.23 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 2c | 7,911$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.62 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1e…bb8cbacked Yes | 2c | 7,884$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.83 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc750…57acbacked Yes | 2c | 7,334$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…efe0backed Yes | 1c | 7,073$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 3c | 6,735$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.6 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…c04bbacked Yes | 1c | 6,689$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…783dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,995$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed Yes | 0c | 5,759$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…4159backed Yes | 1c | 5,698$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…c3b0backed Yes | 3c | 5,635$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5939…4701backed Yes | 2c | 5,602$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.04 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 0c | 5,395$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 2c | 5,301$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.61 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f5…db45backed Yes | 3c | 5,078$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…d8e6backed Yes | 0c | 5,005$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked Yes | 2c | 4,863$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…b0ddbacked Yes | 2c | 4,770$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…02babacked Yes | 2c | 4,770$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 1c | 4,722$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7c…46d9backed Yes | 3c | 4,704$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.93 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9167…5338backed Yes | 2c | 4,661$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…0e46backed Yes | 3c | 4,561$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 3c | 4,503$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.15 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9284…df93backed Yes | 2c | 4,341$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…299cbacked Yes | 4c | 4,333$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5e…f54fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,312$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…b736backed Yes | 2c | 4,278$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.06 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe46…c74fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,902$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…70d3backed Yes | 2c | 3,880$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14d9…407dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,653$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14bf…c45fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,588$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…0791backed Yes | 2c | 3,581$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 13cpaid | +315.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15da…d514backed Yes | 1c | 3,576$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061d…48eabacked Yes | 1c | 3,472$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…02a0backed Yes | 2c | 3,458$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa4…d1aebacked Yes | 1c | 3,431$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 2c | 3,423$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe32…2177backed Yes | 3c | 3,385$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed Yes | 3c | 3,282$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc012…4de2backed Yes | 2c | 3,234$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0b…ca71backed Yes | 5c | 3,228$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdc…3b1ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931a…1f6cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,129$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3f…ac90backed Yes | 1c | 3,079$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f6…72a6backed Yes | 2c | 2,977$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f13…ca9abacked Yes | 2c | 2,958$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 2c | 2,886$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,880$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 3c | 2,800$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80b9…0863backed Yes | 3c | 2,798$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…cfa1backed Yes | 2c | 2,771$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…fb66backed Yes | 3c | 2,535$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Yes | 2c | 2,484$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…4ae1backed Yes | 2c | 2,362$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc628…562fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,329$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…b5a4backed Yes | 3c | 2,251$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…26d6backed Yes | 3c | 2,164$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bd…8203backed Yes | 1c | 2,143$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.