Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a26b66b6bdb6b12af72cdf6c47e6a4b869b0deb595a780f430e639b748b6152
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $890,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $832,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $890,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 15c | 50,953$7,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,486.62 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 4c | 32,031$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.93 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf34…dc6ebacked Yes | 11c | 27,671$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.16 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x075e…1840backed Yes | 8c | 22,985$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.37 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 0c | 17,361$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.42 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe424…d6e3backed Yes | 0c | 16,783$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 1c | 16,616$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.52 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fc…b4e3backed Yes | 1c | 16,590$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.67 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5e…f1b0backed Yes | 2c | 16,454$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 15,710$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.38 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Yes | 18c | 14,935$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.87 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 2c | 10,646$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.72 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…e9e4backed Yes | 0c | 10,020$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 8,630$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.56 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…82c5backed Yes | 2c | 8,324$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 8c | 7,764$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.13 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746a…1883backed Yes | 1c | 7,172$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…541bbacked No | 79c | 7,000$5,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe119…e30fbacked Yes | 2c | 6,294$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +168%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…8a3cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,295$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ee…0991backed Yes | 1c | 5,200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes | 2c | 5,027$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 4,610$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ca…2598backed Yes | 35c | 4,530$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Yes | 7c | 4,441$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7c…46d9backed Yes | 17c | 4,305$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.7 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…26ecbacked Yes | 9c | 4,267$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.38 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 20c | 3,937$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.75 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a99…c413backed No | 79c | 3,887$3,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.85 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d6…de00backed Yes | 29c | 3,790$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…40e9backed Yes | 8c | 3,098$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x991f…d3c2backed Yes | 20c | 3,091$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.72 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 15c | 3,089$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.02 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 78c | 2,997$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.26 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a0…b4b2backed Yes | 2c | 2,879$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ec…2b2fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,854$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5aafbacked Yes | 2c | 2,689$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…a77cbacked Yes | 20c | 2,462$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 18c | 2,366$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.23 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 2c | 2,080$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…c80dbacked Yes | 26c | 2,075$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…c4edbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Yes | 19c | 1,965$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45bc…978bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,902$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed Yes | 31c | 1,800$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Yes | 7c | 1,746$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.74 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 14c | 1,719$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.84 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…8bbbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,634$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed Yes | 2c | 1,600$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked Yes | 18c | 1,583$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.04 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eae…be0bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,580$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…3b4cbacked No | 73c | 1,542$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2956…01cfbacked Yes | 28c | 1,476$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -80%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…bf47backed Yes | 12c | 1,452$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.65per pick | 18cpaid | +458.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…4ae1backed Yes | 1c | 1,443$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7979…202fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,305$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.53per pick | 31cpaid | +168.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…2515backed Yes | 2c | 1,208$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…9522backed Yes | 2c | 1,200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfb…cc11backed Yes | 2c | 1,182$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1457…84ecbacked Yes | 1c | 1,177$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…e096backed Yes | 23c | 1,160$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.74 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,154$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.18 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb420…448fbacked No | 75c | 1,090$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa319…9e56backed Yes | 25c | 1,060$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab6…bcb9backed Yes | 2c | 1,045$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 2c | 1,010$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…d660backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…64b0backed Yes | 31c | 999.23$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…9265backed No | 67c | 975.64$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.96 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c99…dd97backed Yes | 13c | 926.58$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91db…6fb2backed Yes | 2c | 908.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac19…65bfbacked Yes | 2c | 889.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…51b2backed Yes | 2c | 882.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 25c | 809.47$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.29 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc09f…b3e5backed Yes | 4c | 783.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f4…16bdbacked Yes | 6c | 720.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed No | 77c | 715.74$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc914…c458backed Yes | 2c | 700$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 19c | 700$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.07 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…5f77backed No | 71c | 679$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1abb…e17ebacked Yes | 14c | 676.69$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…2fd6backed Yes | 21c | 675.22$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.8 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed Yes | 2c | 666.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa162…bab2backed No | 75c | 642.99$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Yes | 28c | 640.23$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.26 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…04b6backed No | 80c | 607$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cc…8ba2backed Yes | 2c | 605$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0012…bff8backed Yes | 28c | 589.85$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db5…9490backed Yes | 19c | 555.07$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea0…1570backed Yes | 21c | 552.24$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.4 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 4c | 551.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…81eabacked Yes | 26c | 515.45$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.02 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16c…866abacked Yes | 15c | 500.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28f…0876backed Yes | 28c | 499.26$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.28 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3f…ac90backed Yes | 24c | 477.06$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.31 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.