TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,816,508
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,843,293

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,816,508 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x907d…20c4backed Yes0c58,846$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.52234.3%1 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes10c49,423$5,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,026.8514213.4%19 W · 123 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c88…af41backed Yes20c40,210$7,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,842.8930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes3c37,315$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.22270%0 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fd…fe19backed No75c30,000$22,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5002100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x716d…4206backed Yes16c27,376$4,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,485.272733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-43.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb392…fc73backed Yes20c24,579$4,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9964912.2%6 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-77.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ed…bb85backed Yes0c24,120$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4360%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a1…9dcebacked Yes16c23,731$3,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,786.512321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6402…2fa1backed Yes8c22,590$1,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.84643.1%2 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-72.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a3c…8ba0backed Yes25c21,669$5,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,417.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes10c20,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010313.6%14 W · 89 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b6b…9a8abacked Yes1c19,952$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.35220%0 W · 22 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes2c19,311$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.031333.8%5 W · 128 L-10.2wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-83.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes1c18,800$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204163.1%13 W · 403 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3526…aababacked Yes1c17,186$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.125425.9%14 W · 40 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick11cpaid+83.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes5c16,396$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.862015%3 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-67.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b59…58e6backed Yes0c15,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301001%1 W · 99 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-96.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca5…8727backed Yes7c12,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8404515.6%7 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick8cpaid+280.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23d0…2c91backed Yes1c11,955$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed No74c11,375$8,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,953.7958126.9%156 W · 425 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed No75c10,748$8,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,686.931776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+38.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9051…b0e0backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bb0…26ecbacked Yes6c9,703$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.182222.7%5 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-47.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83f0…6ff5backed Yes27c9,468$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550.221717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba87…adc4backed Yes5c9,427$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x846a…8166backed Yes19c9,281$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.0140%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44a5…d2eebacked No75c9,035$6,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,264.06650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c5f…31d1backed Yes13c8,984$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.21120%0 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc88b…dba8backed No79c8,865$7,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.44650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes14c8,782$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.953511.4%4 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-70.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1491…11d3backed Yes0c8,564$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.69714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-80.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fdf…4452backed Yes2c8,500$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811015.9%6 W · 95 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+121.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x784d…d27dbacked Yes11c8,270$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.142729.6%8 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf23d…b77abacked Yes3c8,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24060%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9907…b562backed Yes2c7,738$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.64244.2%1 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-92.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes0c7,585$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.631490.7%1 W · 148 L-0.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78f…9cffbacked Yes6c7,205$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.32100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a9…1652backed No79c7,200$5,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5122100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2298…b75fbacked Yes1c7,148$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4645…f60fbacked Yes25c7,136$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,78490%0 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc29…1c34backed Yes1c6,886$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.85454.4%2 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee45…e055backed Yes22c6,227$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.991637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d8e…576bbacked No75c5,998$4,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ad…f13ebacked No73c5,990$4,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de1…e0debacked Yes1c5,864$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.172055%11 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x465c…e94dbacked Yes1c5,769$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.02160%0 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0923…bd50backed Yes7c5,536$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.3830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd99f…4768backed Yes19c5,075$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.963036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0add…ea05backed Yes0c5,055$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1640%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b2…639ebacked Yes14c5,007$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.932744.4%12 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ae…51e0backed Yes8c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014019.3%27 W · 113 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+119.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fd3…e662backed Yes3c5,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503813.2%5 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-48.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0970…5ae4backed Yes8c4,721$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.7128021.1%59 W · 221 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes5c4,706$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.556785.9%40 W · 638 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2f…2687backed Yes6c4,323$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.3930%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…9b5ebacked Yes27c4,215$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.34422.7%10 W · 34 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefc2…692fbacked Yes4c4,163$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa232…d79bbacked Yes24c4,150$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab7…d144backed Yes18c4,107$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.95478.5%4 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick16cpaid+31.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4d6…634fbacked Yes21c4,082$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+58.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb50c…215bbacked Yes18c4,018$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.17825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-45%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba8…d489backed Yes15c3,957$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.5360%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x276b…9116backed Yes4c3,695$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.26205%1 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-90.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0bf…2032backed Yes5c3,538$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.652619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-66.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd1…8f9cbacked Yes5c3,495$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8750%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes3c3,491$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.043619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-64.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a528backed Yes4c3,416$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.79333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…4073backed Yes17c3,346$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.791020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-58%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f69…acb6backed Yes4c3,325$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.121792.2%4 W · 175 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c1…bdb9backed Yes22c3,276$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.913935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d7a…276fbacked Yes6c3,246$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30e4…5102backed Yes8c3,105$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.423010%3 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes2c3,043$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7128113.2%37 W · 244 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-68.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c6…927bbacked Yes4c3,021$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.571672.4%4 W · 163 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-68.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6430…fb2fbacked Yes17c3,010$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed No79c2,999$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.8913863%87 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bef…62a4backed Yes7c2,964$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003215.6%5 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bdf…89c4backed Yes5c2,910$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.122030%6 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd143…83ecbacked Yes25c2,901$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.8910221.6%22 W · 80 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed No76c2,888$2,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c67…44a8backed Yes26c2,875$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.4750%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3673…ce22backed Yes5c2,783$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.67837.2%6 W · 77 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-60.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c49…97febacked Yes3c2,713$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.06150%0 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Yes4c2,709$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.262581.2%3 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-84%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25db…28debacked Yes13c2,374$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.18100%0 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c3f…ff4bbacked Yes14c2,350$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32970%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7542…d891backed Yes2c2,314$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dec…3579backed Yes5c2,126$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95c8…9af1backed Yes8c2,103$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.261811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-82.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebaa…abacbacked Yes7c2,075$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.26362.8%1 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-68.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa455…1c6fbacked Yes22c2,036$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.69185.6%1 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick19cpaid-79.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x54af…a9efbacked Yes19c2,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07a2…3389backed Yes17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34050%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67d9…ab69backed Yes5c1,998$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.83250%0 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc24c…0272backed Yes2c1,975$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5cb…35cfbacked Yes22c1,965$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.3333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-45%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8ce…6da0backed Yes19c1,940$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.261915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-69.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e5c…3036backed Yes15c1,905$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2791022%2 W · 100 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-91.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb35e…0867backed Yes24c1,871$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.071435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick27cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.