Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3270330a3aa96b56458b439a90f319c1d326f28476f75727d0852ef59cef5c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,816,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,843,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,816,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 58,846$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 10c | 49,423$5,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,026.85 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c88…af41backed Yes | 20c | 40,210$7,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,842.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes | 3c | 37,315$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.22 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…fe19backed No | 75c | 30,000$22,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Yes | 16c | 27,376$4,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,485.27 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 20c | 24,579$4,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,996 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ed…bb85backed Yes | 0c | 24,120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.43 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a1…9dcebacked Yes | 16c | 23,731$3,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,786.51 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 8c | 22,590$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.84 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…8ba0backed Yes | 25c | 21,669$5,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,417.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 10c | 20,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…9a8abacked Yes | 1c | 19,952$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.35 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 2c | 19,311$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.03 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 18,800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…aababacked Yes | 1c | 17,186$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.12 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 11cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 5c | 16,396$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.86 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 1%1 W · 99 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -96.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…8727backed Yes | 7c | 12,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +280.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d0…2c91backed Yes | 1c | 11,955$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 74c | 11,375$8,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,953.79 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 75c | 10,748$8,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,686.93 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…b0e0backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…26ecbacked Yes | 6c | 9,703$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.18 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83f0…6ff5backed Yes | 27c | 9,468$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.22 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…adc4backed Yes | 5c | 9,427$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x846a…8166backed Yes | 19c | 9,281$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a5…d2eebacked No | 75c | 9,035$6,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…31d1backed Yes | 13c | 8,984$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.21 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…dba8backed No | 79c | 8,865$7,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 14c | 8,782$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.95 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Yes | 0c | 8,564$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 2c | 8,500$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…d27dbacked Yes | 11c | 8,270$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.14 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf23d…b77abacked Yes | 3c | 8,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…b562backed Yes | 2c | 7,738$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.64 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 7,585$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78f…9cffbacked Yes | 6c | 7,205$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.32 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a9…1652backed No | 79c | 7,200$5,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…b75fbacked Yes | 1c | 7,148$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4645…f60fbacked Yes | 25c | 7,136$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc29…1c34backed Yes | 1c | 6,886$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 22c | 6,227$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8e…576bbacked No | 75c | 5,998$4,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ad…f13ebacked No | 73c | 5,990$4,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de1…e0debacked Yes | 1c | 5,864$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.17 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…e94dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,769$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0923…bd50backed Yes | 7c | 5,536$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd99f…4768backed Yes | 19c | 5,075$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.96 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0add…ea05backed Yes | 0c | 5,055$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…639ebacked Yes | 14c | 5,007$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.93 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed Yes | 3c | 5,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 8c | 4,721$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.71 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 4,706$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.55 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2f…2687backed Yes | 6c | 4,323$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9b5ebacked Yes | 27c | 4,215$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.3 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc2…692fbacked Yes | 4c | 4,163$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa232…d79bbacked Yes | 24c | 4,150$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Yes | 18c | 4,107$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.95 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…634fbacked Yes | 21c | 4,082$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb50c…215bbacked Yes | 18c | 4,018$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…d489backed Yes | 15c | 3,957$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.53 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…9116backed Yes | 4c | 3,695$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.26 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…2032backed Yes | 5c | 3,538$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.65 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd1…8f9cbacked Yes | 5c | 3,495$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 3c | 3,491$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.04 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a528backed Yes | 4c | 3,416$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…4073backed Yes | 17c | 3,346$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.79 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 4c | 3,325$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.12 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…bdb9backed Yes | 22c | 3,276$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.91 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…276fbacked Yes | 6c | 3,246$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 8c | 3,105$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.42 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 3,043$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 4c | 3,021$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6430…fb2fbacked Yes | 17c | 3,010$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 79c | 2,999$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.89 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…62a4backed Yes | 7c | 2,964$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdf…89c4backed Yes | 5c | 2,910$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.12 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…83ecbacked Yes | 25c | 2,901$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.89 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed No | 76c | 2,888$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…44a8backed Yes | 26c | 2,875$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…ce22backed Yes | 5c | 2,783$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.67 | 83 | 7.2%6 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c49…97febacked Yes | 3c | 2,713$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 4c | 2,709$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.26 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 13c | 2,374$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.18 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…ff4bbacked Yes | 14c | 2,350$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7542…d891backed Yes | 2c | 2,314$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…3579backed Yes | 5c | 2,126$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…9af1backed Yes | 8c | 2,103$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.26 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 7c | 2,075$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.26 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…1c6fbacked Yes | 22c | 2,036$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.69 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54af…a9efbacked Yes | 19c | 2,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a2…3389backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d9…ab69backed Yes | 5c | 1,998$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.83 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24c…0272backed Yes | 2c | 1,975$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cb…35cfbacked Yes | 22c | 1,965$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ce…6da0backed Yes | 19c | 1,940$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.26 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 15c | 1,905$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35e…0867backed Yes | 24c | 1,871$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.07 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.