Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f88a260d61f6ab1cc05e8e34019121d5d65c516f33f5eac22755c3a29e20311
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,221,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,365,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,221,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba8…d489backed Yes | 8c | 61,806$4,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,944.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35e…0867backed Yes | 12c | 60,250$7,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,507.51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ac…1e4dbacked Yes | 6c | 48,751$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 5c | 40,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…8ba0backed Yes | 11c | 36,619$4,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 3c | 35,656$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.33 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…c1d5backed Yes | 3c | 35,565$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.8 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…8727backed Yes | 3c | 35,486$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.55 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +280.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes | 2c | 29,865$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.29 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…f97abacked Yes | 7c | 28,500$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…ed43backed Yes | 0c | 28,231$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 1c | 27,290$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.26 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cf…69fdbacked Yes | 9c | 26,606$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 25,800$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…783ebacked Yes | 0c | 24,098$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 2c | 23,300$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.6 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b6…ad7cbacked Yes | 7c | 19,758$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…cb82backed Yes | 1c | 19,365$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.19 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62aa…70adbacked Yes | 7c | 18,481$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 6c | 18,446$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.8 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…9a8abacked Yes | 2c | 18,078$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.26 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…44a8backed Yes | 10c | 13,771$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc29…1c34backed Yes | 2c | 13,547$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.97 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 5c | 13,186$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.61 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 12,979$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc7…7e20backed Yes | 8c | 12,515$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.21 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 2c | 11,415$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.44 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…d8e6backed Yes | 0c | 10,959$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b1…a882backed Yes | 2c | 10,640$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.03 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 9,877$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…23c1backed Yes | 8c | 9,500$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.95 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1087…013bbacked Yes | 7c | 9,283$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.82 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 9,121$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.99 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Yes | 6c | 8,754$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.59 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 3c | 8,603$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.41 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde06…7a72backed Yes | 10c | 8,530$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c49…97febacked Yes | 2c | 8,407$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.26 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…a922backed Yes | 11c | 7,926$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4b…8a64backed Yes | 9c | 7,524$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf499…b5d9backed Yes | 12c | 7,277$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 7c | 6,968$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.98 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,885$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3954…6e11backed Yes | 9c | 6,802$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…31d1backed Yes | 5c | 6,579$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.08 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…d27dbacked Yes | 14c | 6,442$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.57 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…e94dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,431$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a2…3389backed Yes | 8c | 6,400$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d14…9edabacked Yes | 8c | 6,386$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…46d1backed Yes | 7c | 5,813$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.61 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c88…af41backed Yes | 8c | 5,614$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed Yes | 0c | 5,550$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66f5…b326backed Yes | 5c | 5,500$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…ff4bbacked Yes | 7c | 5,400$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe699…8dc2backed Yes | 1c | 5,011$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 4c | 4,978$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.79 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 4,800$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 4c | 4,627$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.75 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211e…b366backed Yes | 4c | 4,527$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.46 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a7…229ebacked Yes | 6c | 4,514$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2b…6681backed Yes | 8c | 4,365$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.3 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 6c | 4,149$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.16 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fd…4959backed Yes | 7c | 4,041$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.95 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 4c | 3,844$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.69 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…a745backed Yes | 6c | 3,684$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +275.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb49a…3a01backed Yes | 3c | 3,407$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd550…e673backed Yes | 3c | 3,213$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 4c | 3,190$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.96 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2f…2687backed Yes | 3c | 3,018$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…8fa8backed Yes | 10c | 2,976$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.83 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x318f…d375backed Yes | 2c | 2,958$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 12c | 2,911$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.31 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56aa…250bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,817$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…9fdabacked Yes | 2c | 2,475$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 9cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…5889backed Yes | 4c | 2,327$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 3c | 2,238$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5849…a99ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,955$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa6…e26ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,941$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…2d50backed Yes | 3c | 1,932$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…c272backed Yes | 11c | 1,931$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7e…4a57backed Yes | 9c | 1,913$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.79 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…02d6backed Yes | 1c | 1,765$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 1,726$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,704$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e71…c117backed Yes | 1c | 1,565$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…655cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,471$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.62 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…62a4backed Yes | 10c | 1,436$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff8…274dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,406$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…0960backed Yes | 12c | 1,310$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.19 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292c…43bfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,274$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b1…a8febacked Yes | 2c | 1,274$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5490…1806backed Yes | 5c | 1,250$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x868e…5392backed Yes | 2c | 1,243$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…7f5ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,235$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…59d9backed Yes | 3c | 1,219$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf465…28e9backed Yes | 12c | 1,200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6f…0e5fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 11c | 1,094$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdf…89c4backed Yes | 8c | 1,084$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dde…2217backed Yes | 9c | 955.86$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.03 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.