Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa315788fbf3b6f7a72ebc75fa28e23aba5cbb3b51500a8ce12a290249c0f1104
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,097,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,888,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,097,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb12a…cb82backed Yes | 1c | 109,815$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…5502backed Yes | 0c | 50,859$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…4b27backed Yes | 1c | 49,503$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf6…4b9cbacked Yes | 1c | 47,679$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…02babacked Yes | 1c | 37,480$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.87 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90da…4042backed Yes | 1c | 36,180$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.54 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e09…c7fabacked Yes | 2c | 35,589$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4159…6c30backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 1c | 28,712$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.09 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c91…aea0backed Yes | 1c | 28,608$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…382bbacked Yes | 1c | 27,677$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.2 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 1c | 25,000$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…01b8backed Yes | 1c | 24,096$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.8 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…26ecbacked Yes | 1c | 22,474$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.85 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 1c | 20,566$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.01 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…d8e6backed Yes | 0c | 20,236$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb33e…cd0abacked Yes | 1c | 19,873$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 1c | 15,894$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…a403backed Yes | 1c | 14,170$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.81 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…c3b0backed Yes | 1c | 13,941$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21e4…efe3backed Yes | 1c | 13,925$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1087…013bbacked Yes | 1c | 12,908$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.86 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0b…ca71backed Yes | 2c | 12,639$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…26d6backed Yes | 1c | 12,562$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.81 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 1c | 12,069$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb452…afc6backed Yes | 0c | 11,545$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda7…3b2abacked Yes | 0c | 11,527$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed Yes | 0c | 11,089$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb53…cdf8backed Yes | 1c | 10,740$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Yes | 1c | 10,583$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.43 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 0c | 10,368$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb869…8a34backed Yes | 1c | 10,355$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…8af7backed Yes | 1c | 10,308$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…2501backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…9728backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff8…274dbacked Yes | 1c | 9,438$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.73 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 9,331$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…232cbacked Yes | 1c | 9,262$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.88 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fef…4849backed Yes | 1c | 8,606$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 1c | 8,414$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 1c | 8,326$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16df…1b0bbacked Yes | 1c | 8,217$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 7,495$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…fe8fbacked Yes | 1c | 7,003$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a5…3396backed Yes | 1c | 6,941$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f5…db45backed Yes | 1c | 6,554$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c3…993ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,193$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…fb66backed Yes | 1c | 5,880$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x625e…76e3backed Yes | 0c | 5,573$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x318a…4a32backed Yes | 1c | 5,420$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3f…ac90backed Yes | 1c | 5,380$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…b810backed Yes | 2c | 5,364$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5e…37a2backed Yes | 1c | 5,024$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48b…47b2backed Yes | 1c | 4,933$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes | 1c | 4,763$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…3a81backed Yes | 1c | 4,687$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,529$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 1c | 4,456$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b68…a125backed Yes | 2c | 4,426$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e01…a4babacked Yes | 1c | 4,176$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 4,043$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…f034backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5849…a99ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,950$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6088…27b4backed Yes | 1c | 3,779$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,723$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 1c | 3,661$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 1c | 3,632$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…e97bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,373$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdf…342ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,214$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…6b2abacked Yes | 1c | 3,022$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,002$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…9c4cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,903$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0106…1b00backed Yes | 1c | 2,858$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…c707backed Yes | 1c | 2,704$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ca…edb7backed Yes | 1c | 2,702$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f4…9e73backed Yes | 1c | 2,694$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…3b76backed Yes | 1c | 2,688$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,625$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…c1a5backed Yes | 2c | 2,578$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…aab2backed Yes | 1c | 2,572$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fc…b4e3backed Yes | 1c | 2,572$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Yes | 1c | 2,531$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 100 | 1%1 W · 99 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -96.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d3…20c1backed Yes | 1c | 2,520$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…cf7abacked Yes | 1c | 2,517$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x211e…b366backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…d30bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,422$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5c…a8b5backed Yes | 1c | 2,383$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d8…2922backed Yes | 1c | 2,382$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6531…c53ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,328$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 1c | 2,312$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…5b82backed Yes | 1c | 2,138$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5a…985cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,997$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 1,945$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…db09backed Yes | 1c | 1,929$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…46b1backed Yes | 1c | 1,905$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…2d19backed Yes | 1c | 1,905$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6e…4bc0backed Yes | 1c | 1,788$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…2974backed Yes | 2c | 1,774$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa167…4108backed Yes | 1c | 1,715$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.