TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff4e…5502

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
192
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Tweets, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 52 out of 100; worst AI at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT630%0 W · 63 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.51
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.61
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT382.6%1 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick0cpaid+2,531.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.98
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.84
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.99
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.49
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT230%0 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.86
Will Solana reach $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.67
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.05
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.29
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.06
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.97
Will Solana dip to $20 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Solana dip to $30 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Solana reach $150 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.98
Will Solana reach $160 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.69
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.5
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT160%0 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miyazaki: Liam Broady vs Kaichi Uchidabacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$4.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.