Fed Rates · resolved market
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36e8ca24d2a13435f519f15580d42b45cdbe3bc425fb39a7c2733260357af0fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,909,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,732,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,909,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,848 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37ef…a37abacked No | 0c | 3,102,614$7,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,050.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked No | 0c | 1,728,426$3,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,756.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…fb6cbacked No | 1c | 955,887$8,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,661.48 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…f79abacked No | 0c | 700,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed No | 0c | 317,507$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.52 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…03c2backed No | 0c | 307,115$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bd…1fecbacked No | 0c | 284,000$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked No | 0c | 278,642$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.64 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa450…452fbacked No | 0c | 250,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 0c | 246,661$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.44 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -95.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c90…79f4backed No | 0c | 230,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf74…b16cbacked No | 0c | 200,667$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf8…fb62backed No | 2c | 190,830$3,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,837.3 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…4b27backed No | 1c | 179,357$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a24…cf2bbacked No | 0c | 168,013$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…ccb0backed No | 1c | 162,068$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.78 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe04a…094fbacked No | 0c | 160,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf920…665fbacked No | 0c | 150,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ef…c75bbacked No | 2c | 147,830$3,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,206 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 8cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7149…81d1backed No | 0c | 143,690$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b9…0024backed No | 1c | 142,626$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.78 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…b66ebacked No | 2c | 141,696$3,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.61 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…0b49backed No | 0c | 138,580$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.16 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28d2…38aebacked No | 1c | 131,987$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed No | 6c | 131,005$7,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,452 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3371…4f89backed No | 0c | 118,990$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 1c | 113,077$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.76 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…b0cbbacked No | 0c | 112,980$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.96 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4a…24bebacked No | 0c | 111,305$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed No | 0c | 110,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…7d2abacked No | 0c | 109,450$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…9d93backed No | 1c | 109,092$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.46 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked No | 0c | 107,000$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…a169backed No | 0c | 102,500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…8e3cbacked No | 0c | 101,338$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4b…abd8backed No | 0c | 100,500$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…83a0backed No | 0c | 100,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5b80backed No | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc828…dbfabacked No | 0c | 100,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…3f54backed No | 0c | 95,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbf…9afabacked No | 0c | 92,790$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.58 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1daa…df94backed No | 0c | 91,910$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 1c | 91,626$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…f114backed No | 1c | 91,036$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.82 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d240backed No | 1c | 88,040$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.71 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…f2d9backed No | 1c | 85,837$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…b90abacked No | 1c | 85,733$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…eb90backed No | 2c | 84,096$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1be…9662backed No | 0c | 80,595$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…ce0cbacked No | 0c | 80,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x828d…c9a5backed No | 0c | 77,978$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…f385backed No | 0c | 77,721$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…4fbebacked No | 0c | 75,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef56…3f07backed No | 15c | 72,623$10,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,959.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…c17cbacked No | 0c | 69,655$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7440…0a44backed No | 0c | 69,418$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7847…4007backed No | 1c | 67,053$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…2fb9backed No | 0c | 66,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfafa…a39fbacked No | 0c | 66,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked No | 0c | 66,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 5c | 65,445$3,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,219.26 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed No | 2c | 65,217$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.93 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6d…2d0cbacked No | 1c | 65,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…e8eabacked No | 1c | 63,667$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe526…a19dbacked No | 0c | 63,562$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…962dbacked No | 0c | 62,915$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c0…22c1backed No | 1c | 62,054$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac6…5a16backed No | 0c | 61,667$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…8cd8backed No | 0c | 61,212$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed No | 1c | 60,333$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce78…bfadbacked No | 1c | 59,524$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…5bdcbacked No | 0c | 59,410$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.32 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 2c | 57,700$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.04 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9155…46f0backed No | 0c | 57,500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 2c | 57,149$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.2 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…46e5backed No | 12c | 55,843$6,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,728.41 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3862…782fbacked No | 1c | 55,295$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed No | 4c | 53,877$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.11 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef0…156fbacked No | 4c | 53,847$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x487a…5d25backed No | 0c | 53,783$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…9491backed No | 0c | 53,598$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49a…69debacked No | 4c | 53,461$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d51…b0cebacked No | 0c | 53,000$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked No | 0c | 52,470$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40dd…e214backed No | 0c | 52,160$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.32 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b9…822abacked No | 0c | 51,385$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked No | 1c | 50,997$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.05 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -72%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1faf…3b02backed No | 1c | 50,571$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…f447backed No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a36…bd8ebacked No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ae…6ebfbacked No | 0c | 50,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…f03fbacked No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…c5a9backed No | 0c | 50,000$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed No | 1c | 49,433$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…c211backed No | 0c | 49,108$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…64d0backed No | 0c | 48,793$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…c978backed No | 0c | 46,464$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b0…5aaabacked No | 0c | 44,778$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.09 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed No | 1c | 44,131$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.46 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…425bbacked No | 0c | 42,500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?this page
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No won
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No won
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.