TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9fdd…2fb9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT3844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Granby: Liam Draxl vs James Kent Trotterbacked James Kent Trotter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Athens Open: Martha Matoula vs Elena Micicbacked Elena Micic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$114.08
Bunschoten: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Filippo Romanobacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$784Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$784
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,580
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$654.99
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Francesca Jonesbacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$205.78
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.5
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$846Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$211.5
Set 1 Winner: Virtanen vs Majchrzakbacked Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$178.94
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$185.05
Centurion 2: Arda Azkara vs Khololwam Montsibacked Khololwam Montsi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$204.42
Birmingham: Harry Wendelken vs Mark Lajalbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.04
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.54
Heilbronn: Max Hans Rehberg vs Marvin Moellerbacked Max Hans Rehberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.57
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.02
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.28
Birmingham: James McCabe vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$196.84
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-2.5) vs Mensik (+2.5)backed Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$52.22
Rafael Jodar vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$109.16
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$126.17
Birmingham: Tristan Schoolkate vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$203.19
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$113.3
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,808Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,808
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$672.13
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$294
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$961.64
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$609.09
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$458.25
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,738Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$962
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$357
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$393.42
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.3
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+139.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$186
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$188.77
World Championships: Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$190.82
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+45.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+110.3%+$394.77
Naz Reid: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.94
Josh Hart: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$306.08
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$202.8
Toronto Tempo vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$205.13
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.98
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+173.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Verdant (+1.5)backed G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.69
LoL: Solary vs BIG - Game 1 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$254.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,480
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Mandatory vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Playoffsbacked Mandatory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$102.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.